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Against the odds - ranked teams often heavy favorites

Rankings are not always a true indicator of a team’s talent, nor are they very accurate in determining how the college football odds should be set. You will often see a ranked team as an underdog to an unranked home team.

On Friday, you get a chance to bet a ranked road favorite at -3.5 odds. Cincinnati has won nine of 12 road games while Louisville has won 21 of 25 at home. Ranked favorites are a popular bet, but NCAA underdogs can bite hard.

Big East wagering preview: No. 22 Cincinnati Bearcats -3.5 at Louisville Cardinals O/U 49.5


Tomorrow night 22nd ranked Cincinnati travels to play Louisville in a key Big East match up. Last week the Bearcats beat their second ranked opponents in a row beating West Virginia 26-23 in OT while the Cardinals were crushed by Pittsburgh 41-7.

The Bearcats are in a three-way tie for first in the Big East, but tomorrow night play a Louisville team that has had their number as of late having won 9 of the last 10 meetings including five straight.

The Bearcats have the better passing offense while the Cardinals have the better rushing offense. That may help the Cardinals, as the forecast calls for rain.

For the Bearcats to win this game, they will have to stop Louisville RB Victor Anderson (913 yds 7 TD). The Cardinals have a better defense than the Bearcats in terms of rankings, 33rd to 43rd, but they were torched for 41 points last week and have given up an average of 34 PPG in their last five games.

The Cardinals secondary has to play well in this game against the legit passing attack of the Bearcats, but in recent weeks they have played poorly.

The Cardinals lead the Big East with 21 turnovers.

The Cardinals come into this game losing two in a row and were embarrassed two week ago losing to a Syracuse team that is 2-7.

Both teams are 4-4 ATS. Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Louisville.

Big underdogs that can cover Saturday

Troy (6-3) at No. 19 LSU -18.5 (6-3) – The Tigers may not be motivated in this game, as they now have three losses and will not play in a BCS Bowl game this season.

Troy ranks 37th in the nation on defense and its passing attack is legit ranked 25th in the nation in YPG. Troy has won four of its past five games.

No. 24 South Carolina (7-3) at No. 3 Florida -23 (8-1) – The Gamecocks come into this game hot, as they have won six of their last seven games including two in a row. Even though the Florida offense is on fire as of late, they face a Gamecocks defense that ranks third in the nation.

Get the latest college football odds on these games and the full slate of action.

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