Why NFL prop betting can be profitable
NFL betting is often centered on the spread and the total, but the proliferation of online sportsbooks – and football fantasy leagues – has made proposition betting a go-to for pigskin bettors.
Fantasy football experts have become so saavy with statistics that they can beat the oddsmakers’ player prop odds from week to week. As long as you learn how to pick your spots – and do your research – prop betting can be profitable for you, too.
Prop betting can be very enjoyable, but why stop there? Sure, it’s fun to bet the over/under on the length of Katy Perry’s rendition of the national anthem at the Super Bowl, but when there’s money to me made, why stop with the laughs?
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Prop betting lets you in on all sorts of events, from quarterback passing yards to defensive touchdowns to the coin toss, and that doesn’t even scratch the surface of the myriad of props you’ll see from the books for Super Bowl props.
Thing is, there are things you can do to maximize your winnings when betting props. Stick to what you know well and can research, and don’t waste your time on props that are really about dumb luck.
Case and point: Don’t bet on the coin toss. Over time, you’ll always have a 50% chance of winning that wager, and that’s something you can take to the bank, obviously. (Of course, the fact the NFC has won 14 straight coin tosses makes you wonder if it isn't rigged somehow...)
If you’ve been following a particular team, and know their tendencies, that’s where to look for value. Keep an eye on injury reports and matchups, and you could find a player prop that suits you on a given Sunday.
Another rule of thumb is to evaluate the spread. In blowouts, the team that’s leading tends to run the ball to milk the clock, while the trailing squad tends to open up the air attack. The score of the game has a direct effect on statistical output, so handicap prop bets accordingly.
Winning more NFL sports bets is a marathon, not a sprint. And it takes training to avoid the pitfalls that can damage your bankroll. Read more sports betting 101 tutorials by clicking here.