UFC Betting Odds Explained
Much like betting on boxing, MMA wagering pits one fighter against the other. Typically, moneyline odds are assigned to the favorite and underdog.
[ Click here to see UFC odds analysis on upcoming fights ]
A big favorite like Anderson Silva might see him at -500 (meaning you need to risk $500 just to make $100 in profit). However, if Forrest Griffin is a big underdog, he might be +350 odds (meaning a $100 wager would put $350 profit in your pocket).
There are other types of UFC betting, such as picking if the fight will end in knockout, submission or other form of stoppage. Typically, those odds are available only on the Main Event battles and usually not until a few days or even a few hours before they enter the octagon.
Knowing the specialty of each fighter - is he a striker, a grappler, a wrestler, a kick-boxer - helps you determine the likely outcome. Also knowing the historical weaknesses of fighters lets you handicap how the fight might end.
Spider smashes Thunder at UFC 134 in Brazil
It was a lineup of popular Brazilian fighters against the world and Brazil came out on top. Anderson Silva toyed with top contender Yushin Okami before blasting him in the second round of the Main Event, retaining his middleweight belt. Before that, Mauricio Rua hammered Forrest Griffin and Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira upset rising Brenden Schaub. It was a huge night for the UFC, its first voyage to Brazil since 1999.
Evans beats Tito on short notice at UFC 133
The fight was supposed to be Rashad vs Phil Davis, but Davis got hurt just a week before the event. Tito Ortiz, fresh off an upset win just three weeks earlier, agreed to take the fight. But Evans, aiming at a title shot, was dominant after a long layoff and pounded him out in the second round. [ UFC 133 Preview ]
Cruz Earns Revenge on Faber at UFC 132
Dominick Cruz avenged his only career loss by decisioning Urijah Faber at UFC 132 in a terrific fight fought at a terrific pace. The co-Main Event saw Tito Ortiz fighting for his UFC career and he upset Ryan bader as a huge underdog, slapping on a choke in the first round.
The card also saw Chris Leben take out Wanderlei Silva and Melvin Guillard and Carlos Condit both earn impressive knockout wins.
Dos Santos Earns Heavyweight Title Shot with UFC 131 Win
We all knew the heavyweight division was getting sleeker and more talented and it was laid bare in Vancouver when Junior dos Santos destroyed Shane Carwin in a three-round decision. The Brazilian earned a title shot later this year against champion Cain Velasquez. [ UFC 131 recap ]
Also on the card, Kenny Florian decisioned tough Diego Nunes. Florian moved down to featherweight for the fight, where he plans to stay, despite formerly fighting at middleweight (40 pounds in the difference). It was an entertaining card with several slugfests.
Rampage hammers The Hammer Hamill at UFC 130
Injuries depleted the roster of UFC 130, which was intended as the Frank Edgar vs Gray Maynard rematch. But Quinton Rampage Jackson hammered Matt Hamill and earned a decision (which also earned him a title shot against Jon Jones in September). [ UFC 130 recap ]
One of the big upsets of the night saw Rick Story defeat Thiago Alves at welterweight. Frank Mir mauled Roy Nelson in an earlier fight.
GSP Finally Loses a Round at UFC 129
George St-Pierre hadn't lost a single round in four years, but Jake Shields managed to do that after popping the champion in the eye. But Shields couldn't get the win and GSP earned yet another defense of his welterweight belt in Toronto in the UFC's biggest event ever.
But the highlight of the night was surely Jose Aldo's title defense against Mark Hominick, where the Canadian challenger was beaten and bloodied but kept on coming. The card marked the end of Randy Couture's career as he lost to Lyoto Machida (kicks). [ UFC 129 recap ]
New Dawn in Light Heavyweight Division After UFC 128
Jon Jones proved to the world there is a new sheriff in town and he has no equal - not now, not for the foreseeable future. The 23-year-old American took apart champion Mauricio Rua to claim the title at Newark, NJ's Prudential Center.
Urijah Faber made his UFC debut after the WEC was folded into the promotion, beating Eddie Wineland as well. And Jim Miller pounded tough Kamal Shalorus to move into the lightweight title mix.
Penn Knocks Out Hughes at UFC 127
It was billed as the rubber match between two legends and it was - just a lot shorter than the previous two meetings. BJ Penn caught Matt Hughes early and the fight was done inside 20 seconds.
Dennis Siver upset George Sotiropolous and Michael Bisping acted like an asshole in defeating Jorge Rivera.
Silva Flattens Belfort at UFC 126
A few sub-par performances from Anderson Silva had experts wondering if he was sliding. The first round of UFC 126 seemed like more of the same until he snapped a straight kick into Vitor Belfort's face.
The champ won easily on a card that saw Forrest Griffin outpoint Rich Franklin and emerging Jon Jones destroyed unbeaten Ryan Bader. It was announced that Jones would get a title shot at UFC 128 against Shogun Rua, after Rashad Evans suffered an injury in training.
Edgar, Maynard battle to draw at UFC 125
On January 1, a candidate for Fight of the Year. Gray Maynard battered champion Frank Edgar in the first, but Edgar survived to rally for four rounds.
In the end, judges called it a draw and Dana White quickly called for a rematch after UFC 125. Brian Stann TKO'ed tough Chris Leben in the first round and Thiago Silva ended Brandon Vera's UFC career with a three-round decision.
GSP settles score with Koscheck at UFC 124
After listening to Josh Koscheck yap for a full season of The Ultimate Fighter, Georges St. Pierre relished the chance to finally shut him up at UFC 124. And while GSP could not finish Kos off, he easily won all five rounds to retain his welterweight belt.
Rampage returns, Penn blasts Hughes at UFC 123
UFC 123 earned top billing for the return of Rampage Jackson and the third instalment of the BJ Penn vs Matt Hughes trilogy. Jackson won a close decision over Lyoto Machida, while Penn revived his career with a first-minute knockout of fellow Hall of Famer Hughes.
George Sotiropoulos continued his march to the top of the crowded lightweight ladder by slapping a kimura on tough Joe Lauzon.
Okami wins in Germany's UFC 122 card
Nate Marquardt was the favorite in the Main Event, but it was Yushin Okami who emerged victorious. Dennis Siver choked out Andre Winner in another key bout at UFC 122, which suffered some losses due to injury.
The result was some big underdog payouts for MMA bettors. Amir Sadollah and Duane Ludwig were other big winners on the night.
New heavyweight champion crowned at UFC 121
In a battle of brute strength vs MMA technique, the brute lost. Champion Brock Lesnar was rocked early by challenger Cain Velasquez who methodically moved in for the kill.
There would be no escape for Lesnar, as happened in UFC 116 when Shane Carwin gassed himself going for the win in the first round. Also at UFC 121, Diego Sanchez surprised many with a dominating win over Brazilian Paulo Thiago, while Jake Shields made his UFC debut by narrowly defeating Martin Kampmann.
Shields earned a welterweight title shot with the win which was to be set later.
Bisping wins, Hardy loses in UFC 120 in London
Live by the sword, die by the sword. Dan Hardy was knocked cold by Carlos Condit in the co-Main Event while fellow Brit Michael Bisping defeated Yoshihiro Akiyami in the final fight of the night at UFC 120.
Both Brits were favored to win on a card that saw John Hathaway lose badly to Mike Pyle. It was the UFC's return to England, where the sport is huge and where tons of MMA betting happens.
Mir scores unimpressive win at UFC 119
It was snooze-fest in the Main Event with former heavyweight champ Frank Mir looking sluggish against Mirko Cro Cop. He knocked him out to win as a favorite, but it didn't cement his claim to big-name future fights at UFC 119.
One fighter who did stake his claim was Ryan Bader, who remained unbeaten in decisioning Antonio Rogerio Nogueria. Chris Lytle and Sean Sherk also score important wins.
Edgar proves win no fluke at UFC 118
It was one of the biggest upsets in UFC history - legend BJ Penn decisioned by Frankie Edgar back at UFC 112. But there was no controversy this time at UFC 118 as Edgar manhandled Penn for five rounds. The card, which did not see a single knockout, also pitted a serious champion MMA battler against a serious champion boxer.
The result was predictable as Randy Couture threw down former heavyweight boxing champ James Toney and choked him out. Both were past their prime, but Couture looked like an athlete and the lumpy Toney did not. Gray Maynard earned a title shot against Edgar by hammering Kenny Florian. Check out the latest odds and scoop up a wicked bonus at bodog.
Sonnen Backs Up Tough Talk at UFC 117
Chael Sonnen vowed to 'get rid' of Anderson Silva and his recent clown act by knocking him out in UFC 117. Oddsmakers and bettors weren't buying the talk, but he backed it up. In the end, the challenger made one error in the fifth round and the champ pulled a Houdini act with a triangle choke.
UFC 117 odds featured legend Matt Hughes upsetting Ricardo Almeida, along with tough Junior dos Santos earning a heavyweight title shot after battering a resilient Roy Nelson.
Lesnar Rallies Over Carwin in return
If there were ever a battle for the ages where a champion took his lumps, then prevailed for a victory, it was Brock Lesnar at UFC 116.
After nearly a year away due to illness, the heavyweight champ was nearly ground-and-pounded out in the first round, but challenger Carwin gassed himself and was submitted in the second. The bout also marked the second straight tough win for Chris Leben, as he wore down and wore out Yoshihiro Akiyama with a triangle choke.
Legend Liddell Finished After UFC 115
He was a crowd pleaser and one of the most popular UFC performers of all-time, but Chuck Liddell got caught again and lost again in the main event in Vancouver. Rich Franklin caught him with a short shot in the first round at UFC 115, ending what had been a competitive slugfest.
Mirko Cro Cop defeated Pat Barry with a rare submission in a bout where Barry seemed to think Mirko was his buddy. And Martin Kampmann upset Brazilian Paulo Thiago on the main card.
Rashad settles grudge with Rampage at UFC 114
All the pre-fight yapping didn't result in as much scrapping as fans wanted at UFC 114. Rashad Evans handled Rampage Jackson with relative ease to earn a title shot at light heavyweight. The Vegas card also saw Brit Michael Bisping defeat Dan Miller and witnessed several big upsets with John Hathaway beating Diego Sanchez and Cyrille Diabate upsetting Luis Cane.
Rua takes out Machida to cap UFC 113
He was an underdog, just like in their prior match, but Shogun didn't leave it to the judges at UFC 113, knocking out Lyoto Machida early. The card in Montreal was also notable for Kimbo Slice's loss and Josh Koscheck's unanimous decision over Paul Daley.
Silva clowns at UFC 112, Penn upset by Edgar
Nobody was overly enthused by Anderson Silva's mocking of Demian Maia in Dubai at UFC 112. He dominated but acted like a fool, which angered UFC boss Dana White. The co-Main Event featured a huge upset for MMA bettors as Frankie Edgar won as +500 underdog against BJ Penn.
For everyone counting at home, that is $500 in profit for every $100 wagered!
Hardy DOA at UFC 111 as GSP dominates
More MMA observers call Georges St. Pierre the best pound for pound fighter in the world and he showed why in thoroughly dominating a tough customer in Dan Hardy. The Brit was a huge +475 dog at UFC 111 but he didn't have a chance, despite fighting off several submission attempts by the powerful Canadian.
Shane Carwin served notice he is for real in the heavyweight discussion with a first-round dismantling of tough Frank Mir, who had been favored at -130 heading into UFC 111.
Cain able to take to Nogueira in Sydney
Velasquez vs Nogueira was almost too close to call and UFC 110 odds reflected it. But Cain handled Big Nog with punches and the fight was over within three minutes.
The co-Main Event saw Wanderlei Silva grind out a unanimous decision over Michael Bisping. The UFC's introduction in Australia was a huge success.
Couture wins again, beats UFC 109 odds vs Coleman
Naysayers called this the battle of geezers, a battle of MMA Hall of Famers but both men came to fight at Mandalay Bay in Las Vegas. And it was Couture, traditionally a ring-control freak and 'dirty boxer' who got Coleman to the mat and took him out with a rear naked choke in the second round.
Randy had been a huge -400 favorite and he proved why. On the undercard, Paulo Thiago provided great underdog value for MMA bettors by upsetting Mike Swick as a +175 dog.
Evans beats Silva in injury-plagued UFC 108
Injuries kept the UFC 108 card shifting right to the end. But Rashad Evans battled Thiago Silva to a unanimous decision victory at the MGM Grand Hotel in Vegas. He was a -185 favorite and came through for bettors. Canadian Sam Stout was the big underdog victor of the night, defeating Joe Lauzon as a +250 dog.
Penn mightier than Sanchez in UFC 107 battle
Legendary lightweight BJ Penn completely dominated Diego Sanchez in the Main Event in Memphis. Penn battered Sanchez and stopped him in the fifth round with cuts and bruises covering his face.
Frank Mir (submission against Cheick Kongo) and Kenny Florian (submission of Clay Guida) were other highlights of the UFC 107 odds list.
UFC returns to the octagon with UFC 105: Couture vs. Vera
Betting on MMA was a good way for bettors to make some quick and sometime big cash when it first started to become big business a few years ago. When MMA first started to become available, the lines were often favoring the bettor, especially if a surprise knockout occurred.
There have been a number of big MMA payouts for upset wins over the years. Just a few include Quinton “Rampage” Jackson ending Chuck Liddell’s seven-fight winning streak to win the UFC Light Heavy Weight title and Gabriel Gonzaga shocking Mirko Cro Cop with a well-placed kick to the head.
These upsets weren’t as big as Douglas knocking out Tyson, but they still paid well to anyone who took a chance on the underdog.
For the main event at UFC 105, Randy Couture vs. Brandon Vera, there is no huge underdog, but there’s still money to be made. Couture, the 46-year-old MMA veteran enters the bout as the favorite, but not by much at -120 at bodog. Vera isn’t far behind as a -110 underdog.
It’s not really a surprise that the oddsmakers aren’t too confident about Couture. Not only is he stepping into the octagon at 46 years of age, but he’s also lost his last two fights.
His last bout was at UFC 102 in August where he went three rounds with Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira and lost by unanimous decision. That loss dropped Couture lifetime MMA record to 16-10 with seven wins by knockout.
Vera is 14 years younger than the elder statesman Couture at 32 years of age. He also last fought at UFC 102, but he won his fight by unanimous decision over Krzysztof Soszynski. Vera’s MMA record stands at 11-3 with seven wins by KO.