The upcoming weekend offers two anticipated boxing matchups to bet on. One looks like a safe-money bet, while the other has been handicapped close enough to have upset potential. First, on April 29, Rene Alvarado will face Eliecer Lanzas, then, on April 30, Domenico Spada takes on Darren Barker.
Undefeated Nicaraguan Alvarado will challenge undefeated champion Lanzas for the Nicaraguan Super Bantamweight title. Alvarado will come into the fight with 13 straight wins and is touted as one of the top prospects in the division. Lanzas has nine straight wins to his credit, but the boxing odds show Alvarado to be a heavy favorite to take the title.
With odds as high as -900 at some sportsbooks, the best price on the safe-money option Alvarado is a -850 line available at . He’s coming off two straight KO wins over Bismarck Alfaro and looks better every time we see him. He won’t come cheap at -850 but he looks worth the risk to hand Lanzas his first defeat and take the Nicaraguan Super Bantamweight title.
Lanzas barely kept his undefeated record alive in his last bout when he narrowly squeaked out a split-decision win over Erick Aguilera. Boxing odds on Lanzas at have him as a huge +525 underdog, but even that big payout isn’t enough to bet against Alvarado in what looks like a tune-up fight.
Saturday night will feature Spada and Barker fighting for the vacant European Middleweight title. Barker will be looking to regain the title that he vacated last September following an injury, and oddsmakers at 5Dimes think there’s a good chance that he will walk out of the ring as the champion once again. Barker is currently a -310 favorite at 5Dimes and is handicapped as high as -357 at other books.
Spada is a seasoned veteran who looks like he may be past his prime. Despite winning his last two fights, Spada had dropped two of three fights prior to that and does not look like the fighter we saw three years ago. Oddsmakers at 5Dimes have the biggest payout on a Spada upset, currently at +255.
In order for that bet to pay off Spada will have to return to a form that we haven’t seen from him in years. The line on the Spada upset just isn’t offering enough payout for the risk that comes with going against Barker. Look for Barker to dominate Spada and win the European Middleweight title via unanimous decision.