2011 Oscars Odds

In the race for the Oscars, which will take place on February 27th, there is not much hype since most of the big awards are likely in the bag. The Best Director and Best Supporting Actress awards are the only ones with somewhat even odds and it is interesting that betED does not have the Best Actress odds out even that is the closest race, but they will be posted soon.

I stated that a few of the awards seem to be in the bag, but you never know. I mean betED had Grammy Odds and some big-time long shots won some awards.

The King's Speech has the best odds to win the Best Picture and while it did not win the Golden Globes for the award it did win the Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the SAG (Screen Actor's Guild) awards. The Social Network is likely the only picture that has a shot and that film won the award at the Golden Globes.

Odds at betED to win the Best Picture

The King's Speech -500
The Social Network +400   
True Grit +5000    
The Fighter +8000    
Black Swan +6600    
Inception +10000    
Toy Story 3 +17500    
127 Hours +15000    
Winters Bone +20000    
The Kids Are All Right +20000    

Colin Firth is the HUGE favorite to win the Best Actor award and he took home the award at the Golden Globes and at the SAG awards. All the other actors are major long shots and if Firth does not take home the Oscar it would be a major shocker.

Odds at betED to win the Best Actor

Colin Firth (The Kings Speech) -5000    
James Franco (127 Hours) +2200    
Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network) +3300    
Jeff Bridges (True Grit) +4000    
Javier Bardem (Biutiful) +4000    

Much like Colin Firth Natalie Portman won the Best Actress award at the Golden Globes and the SAG awards. However, while the is major favorite Annette Bening may pull off the upset and she took home the Best Actress award for a Comedy at the Golden Globes. Still cannot believe Michelle Williams was nominated and Ryan Gosling was not for Blue Valentine.

Odds at betED to win the Best Actress
   
Natalie Portman (Black Swan) -1200    
Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right) +650    
Jennifer Lawrence (Winters Bone) +3300    
Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole) +8000    
Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine) +8000

Christian Bale brought back the Batman saga, played John Conner in Terminator Salvation, and on February 27th he will likely win his first Oscar. He won the SAG award and Golden Globe for Best Supporting actor and Geoffrey Rush has a shot, albeit a small one, to pull off the upset.

Odds at betED to win the Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale (The Fighter) -900    
Geoffrey Rush (The Kings Speech) +500
Jeremy Renner (The Town) +10000    
Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right +6600    
John Hawkes (Winters Bone) +10000    

Odds at betED to win the Best Supporting Actress (Odds from 2 weeks ago).

This is the closest race out of all the big performer categories and Melissa Leo, who won at the Golden Globes and the SAG awards, has the best odds, but I have a feeling that Helena Bonham Carter will pull off the upset.

Melissa Leo (The Fighter) -165         
Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) +350
Helena Bonham Carter (The Kings Speech) +500
Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom) +1400
Amy Adams (The Fighter) +1200

I still cannot believe Christopher Nolan was not nominated for Inception, but whatever. The Best Director award is a two horse race between Tom Hooper (The Kings Speech) and David Fincher (The Social Network). Fincher won at the Golden Globes, but much like I think Helena Bonham Carter will pull off the upset because it will be the night of the King's Speech there will be no upset in this category.

Odds at betED to win the Best Director

Tom Hooper (The Kings Speech) -125
David Fincher (The Social Network) +110
Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan) +2800
Ethan and Joel Coen (True Grit) +4000
David O. Russell (The Fighter) +6600

Nominees Are Set

Well, the Golden Globes are over and on February 27th the biggie awards ceremony of the Oscars will take place. Unlike the past few years there are not really many of the big awards up for grabs, as a few are seen as shoo-ins.

Like last year’s Oscars there are many films up for the Best Picture award. However, the Social Network is the big time favorite and the film about the Facebook founder won the Golden Globe. Can the King’s Speech score the upset?  Every other film is a major long shot to win.

Here are the Best Picture Award odds at betED .

The Social Network -250          
The King's Speech +150    
True Grit +3300    
The Fighter +3300    
Black Swan +4000    
Inception +4000    
Toy Story 3 +6600    
127 Hours +10000    
Winters Bone +10000
The Kids Are All Right +10000

The one award that may be the toughest one to call is for Best Supporting Actress. At the Golden Globes Melissa Leo (The Fighter) took home the award and betED has her with the best Oscar odds to win the award again.

However, both Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) and Helena Bonham Carter (The Kings Speech) are in the mix and it would be no big shock of either of these actresses took home the golden statue.

Here are the Best Supporting Actress Oscar odds at betED

Melissa Leo (The Fighter) -165          
Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) +350
Helena Bonham Carter (The Kings Speech) +500
Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom) +1400
Amy Adams (The Fighter) +1200

The other 3 major awards that are seen to be already in the bag are for Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Supporting Actor. Oscar odds have Colin Firth (The King’s Speech) as the major favorite to win the Best Actor, Natalie Portman (Black Swan) to win Best Actress, and Christian Bale (The Fighter) to win Best Supporting Actor.

In terms of Oscar odds Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right) for Best Actress and Geoffrey Rush (The Kings Speech) in the Best Supporting Actor have the best odds to pull the upset, but don’t look for either to be giving a winner’s speech at the Oscars in late February.

Here are the Oscar odds at betED to win those 3 awards

Best Actor

Colin Firth (The Kings Speech) -2000        
James Franco (127 Hours) +1200    
Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network) +1400    
Jeff Bridges (True Grit) +3300    
Javier Bardem (Biutiful) +3300

Best Actress

Natalie Portman (Black Swan) -800          
Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right)     +400    
Jennifer Lawrence (Winters Bone) +1500    
Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole) +3000    
Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine) +5000

Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale (The Fighter) -1100          
Geoffrey Rush (The Kings Speech) +500    
Jeremy Renner (The Town) +4000    
Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right) +4000    
John Hawkes (Winters Bone) +4000

Early Oscar Odds

The Oscars are still a few months away, but the buzz has already begun and the 2011 Oscars odds have already been posted.

The film that currently has the bets odds to take away the Oscar next year is The King's Speech, which is at +175 at Bovada and has already won the 2010 Toronto International Film Festival People's Choice Award.

Not only does The King's Speech have the best odds, but it's leading actor Collin Firth also has the best odds at Bovada to take home the Best Actor award. You don't need a Facebook account to know The Social Network is a huge hit and Bovada has the film at +300 to take the prestigious award.

Its leading actor in Jesse Eisenberg is also generating Oscar buzz and he may get a nomination for Best Actor. Director David Fincher has not made life easy lately for Facebook founders showing CEO Mark Zuckerberg in a negative light and he recently donated $100 million to the Newark school system in an effort to that may be to counter the negative publicity.

The Black Swan seems a little dark and there are just so many movies about ballet that the Academy may pass it over! Seriously the film is at +800 at Bovada, but even with the third best odds it is a long shot.

True Grit has not been released yet, but it has major buzz and how can it not with last year's best actor winner Jeff Bridges and two Oscar nominated actors in Matt Damon and Josh Brolin? The 1969 remake by the Coen Brothers is likely to be a huge hit and Bovada has set the odds for the Western to win the Oscar for Best Film at +1200.

Inception is at +1200 at Bovada and this film has it all with great acting, a compelling and original script, stellar directing, and solid cinematography. However, the Academy does not tend to vote for films with so many special effects, but that may change this time around.

The Tree of Life and 127 Hours have good odds both at +1000 at Bovada and each has something going for it. The Tree of Life stars Sean Penn, who is an Oscars mainstay with two Best Actor awards and 127 Hours is a great true story drama about a hiker who amputates his own arm played by James Franco, who is a front-runner for a Best Actor nomination.

Will Toy Story 3 be the first animated movie to win Best Picture? The film is at +1200 at Bovada, but with all the other solid movies with real people I do not think it will be making history at the next Oscars.

Here are the odds to win Best Picture at Bovada as of November 17th.

The King's Speech +175

The Social Network +300

Black Swan +800

True Grit +800

Inception +1200

127 Hours +1000

Another Year +1000

Toy Story 3 +1200

The Tree Of Life +1600

Somewhere +2000

Winter's Bone +2000

Love and Other Drugs +2500

The Kids Are All Right +1600

Secretariat +3300

Never Let Me Go +1600

The Fighter +2500

Fair Game +2500

Miral +2500

Get Low +2500

Shutter Island +3300

The American +3300

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