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Dunkirk The Way-Too-Early Fave To Win Best Picture

Though we are over half a year away from the night itself, odds have hit to the board for which film will win Best Picture at the 90th Academy Awards. Of course, in the heat of summer, it does feel a little presumptuous to declare potential nominations, let alone winners, but that’s not going to stop us.

Dunkirk has opened as the initial +300 favorite. The Christopher Nolan-helmed film is less a film about war and more a film about survival. The grandeur and scope of the cinematography is counterbalanced by the dread and nearness viewers feel to the characters. Though it came out in the usual summer Hollywood blockbuster season, which could hurt because of the relative short memory of our culture, Dunkirk has proven to be the first legit Oscar contender of the year.

Looking towards value for bettors, Blade Runner 2049 could be an intriguing option at +2500. Aside from the stellar cast that features Ryan Gosling, Harrison Ford and Jared Leto; the film will be directed by acclaimed Canadian Denis Villeneuve. Maybe no director in Hollywood right now is able to engage audiences with lighting, sound and camera work. Then, you pair that with one of the best cinematographers on the planet in Roger Deakins, there is reason to believe a sci-fi movie could finally win the statue.

One film to avoid, if you’re betting this far out, would be Mother!. On the surface, a cast of Jennifer Lawrence, Javier Bardem, Ed Harris and Domhnall Gleeson being directed by Darren Aronofsky should garner Oscar buzz. However, the last time a psychological thriller/horror film won Best Picture was 1991 when The Silence Of The Lambs won following a mediocre year of cinema.  

90th Academy Awards – Odds To Win Best Picture

Odds as of July 31 at William Hill

  • Dunkirk +300
  • Phantom Thread +600
  • The Papers +700
  • Downsizing +1000
  • The Current War +1000
  • Call Me By Your Name +1200
  • Detroit +1200
  • Mother! +1600
  • Mudbound +1600
  • The Shape Of Water +1600
  • The Darkest Hour +2000
  • Suburbicon +2000
  • The Beguiled +2000
  • The Greatest Showman +2000
  • Wonderstruck +2200
  • Battle Of The Sexes +2500
  • Blade Runner 2049 +2500
  • Goodbye Christopher Robin +2500
  • Last Flag Flying +2500
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi +2500
  • The Snowman +2500
  • Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri +2500
  • All The Money In The World +3300
  • Coco +3300
  • Molly’s Game +3300
  • Murder On The Orient Express +3300
  • Victoria And Abdul +3300
  • Wind River +3300
  • Wonder Wheel +3300
  • Mary Magdalene +5000
  • Logan +10000
  • War Of The Planet Of The Apes +10000