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Favored Texans look to extend ATS domination of Jaguars

Houston has rarely if ever boasted a stronger team than Jacksonville. But that hasn’t stopped the fledgling franchise from running up a 7-2 ATS mark against the Jags in the past nine matches.

Does that NFL betting trend continue tonight or are the Monday Night Football odds favoring the hometown Texans by three points a gift for Jaguar bettors?

Monday Night Football odds - Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans -3 O/U 48

Both these teams finished last season strong, as the Jags were 11-5 and won a playoff game and the Texans were 8-8 for the first non-losing record in their six-year history.

That is why they were given this prime time Monday night AFC South battle, as many thought both teams would be battling for the playoffs. That has not been the case this season, as both teams are 4-7 and the playoffs are a longshot.

It is a good thing for the Jaguars that the game is in Houston, as this season they are 3-2 on the road and only 1-5 at home.

Sage Rosenfels is the new starting QB for the Texans and he had a good game in last week’s win over Cleveland, as the Texans snapped their three-game losing skid. [custom:betus]

The Texans and their 20th ranked defense will have to stop Jacksonville’s RB Maurice Jones-Drew, who is legit running the ball (503 yds 11 TD) and catching balls out of the backfield (40 rec 393 yds).

Jags’ QB David Garrard has been inconsistent this season, but he can get back on track facing a weak Texans’ secondary.

The Jags’ defense will have to contain Houston WR Andre Johnson (81 rec 1,071 yds 3 TD), who is 3rd in the NFL in receiving yards.

This season the Texans are 5-6 ATS, while those bettors that have been laying green on the Jaguars have been watching their bankroll evaporate, as they are 3-8 ATS.

The total has gone Over in 16 of the Jaguars last 23 games and 9 of their last 13 on the road. The total has gone Over in 11 of the Texans last 13 games, including 5 of their last 6 at home. The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against the Jaguars.

OddsBlogger Pick: This is the first Monday night game ever for the Texans. The Jaguars are away, where they are over .500, but they will have a hard time containing Johnson.

In the first meeting between these two teams the Texans won on a last-second field goal. Look for another close game, but for the Texans to air it out and put a lot of points on the board. The Texans will win this game, cover the spread, and keep their slim playoff hopes alive.

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