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Favorites among our Week 1 NFL picks

NFL picks in Week 1 are sometimes a shot in the dark, but three teams look like locks to cover the spread. We won't always be laying the wood and backing big home favorites, but we are this week.

In the first, Matt Hasselbeck returns to QB the Seahawks in what should be an easy against the spread win over the St. Louis Rams.

St. Louis at Seattle -8.5 at Bovada:

The Seahawks should easily butt heads with the hapless Rams on Sunday. Not only has Seattle won eight-straight against St. Louis while going 6-2 ATS, but the Rams are a paltry 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine season openers.

The Rams had the second worst defense in the league last season and on paper they don’t look much better. With a healthy Hasselbeck and a true No. 1 receiver in T.J. Houshmandzadeh, the Seahawks should pick them apart. Throw in that Rams QB Marc Bulger may not even play and Seattle wins in a rout.

Washington at NY Giants -6.5 at Bovada:

This NFC East clash looks like it could be a close one between two hard-hitting talented defenses. Unfortunately for Redskins fans that won’t be the case. The Giants have the edge on offense with a quarterback who knows how to win and that will give them the edge on Sunday.

Look at the trends. The Giants are 6-2 in their last eight home games against Washington. That includes a tidy 16-7 win last season.

The Redskins made no real improvements on offense so another seven point contest wouldn’t be a surprise. Jason Campbell will have his hands full with the Giants big defensive lineman breathing down his neck all afternoon and that will lead to turnovers. The Giants won’t win big, but they’ll at least cover the 6.5-point spread.

Kansas City at Baltimore -13 at Bovada:

This game has blowout written all over it. Comparing these two teams is like comparing a new Ford Mustang to a 1972 Ford Pinto. Defensively the Ravens rank among the best in the league, while the Chiefs D barely has a pulse.

Kansas City recorded only 10 sacks last season! That means they went at least six games with zero sacks. Joe Flacco should have all day to pass on Sunday and Ray Rice should have holes the size of Baltimore to run through.

The Chiefs new expensive big weapon Matt Cassel may not even play due to a knee sprain he suffered in the preseason. Cassel would be better off sitting this one out because whoever’s behind center will spend more time on the ground then making passes.

Ravens win this on by a landslide.

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