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Fiesta Bowl odds preview

The Boise State Broncos return to the Fiesta Bowl three years after their dramatic 2004 victory. The Broncos may need to draw on some more drama if they hope to win again this year as an underdog to the TCU Horned Frogs on the Fiesta Bowl odds.

Boise St. vs. TCU -7, OU 55 at Bovada
8pm EST, January 4, 2010, University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Boise State blew apart the WAC this season with the conference’s top scoring offense and the top defense. Bronco fans became used to blowouts, as Boise State outscored their opponents 345-137 in their last seven games.

Despite those huge blowouts the Broncos weren’t always a great option for bettors with a 4-3 ATS record in those wins. What do you expect when they’re a 46.5-point favorite versus New Mexico State and they only win 42-7?

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TCU were equally impressive in their run through the Mountain West this season with the conference’s top offense and top defense. Unlike the Broncos the Horned Frogs were a solid pick for bettors down the stretch with a 6-1 ATS mark in their last seven games.

[ Get the latest Fiesta Bowl odds and {URL=http://www.oddsshark.com/NCAAF/Odds}watch line moves right up until game time {/URL} in the OddsShark.com live college football odds section. ]

Boise State (13-0, 8-4 ATS) is an offensive juggernaut led by quarterback Kellen Moore. This season Moore passed for 3325 yards with 39 touchdowns and only three interceptions. The Broncos were also dangerous on the ground, as Jeremy Avery and Doug Martin combined to rush for 1854 yards and 20 touchdowns this season.

TCU (12-0, 8-3 ATS) is not to be outdone with QB Andy Dalton passing for 2484 yards with 22 touchdowns and five interceptions this season. Where the Horned Frogs have a clear edge is on defense. TCU owned the No. 1 defense in the nation this season and they’re were ranked second overall against the run. If the TCU offense can deliver, the defense could bring it home for TCU.

On the injury front there is one big standout for Boise State. Broncos wide receiver Austin Pettis is questionable due to a lower leg fracture that might not have enough time to heal. Pettis was the Broncos second-leading receiver with 850 yards, but he led Boise State in touchdown receptions with 14.

Fiesta Bowl Matchup report – {URL=http://www.oddsshark.com/Stats/Matchup/Football/NCAAF/27389}click here {/URL} | Fiesta Bowl Game Preview – {URL=http://www.oddsshark.com/Stats/Preview/Football/NCAAF/27389}click here {/URL} | Fiesta Bowl Injury Update – {URL=http://www.oddsshark.com/Stats/Injuries/Football/NCAAF}click here {/URL}

Fiesta Bowl History

In last year’s Fiesta Bowl Texas edged Ohio State 24-21 on a Colt McCoy touchdown pass with 16 seconds to go in the fourth quarter. The Longhorns failed to cover the spread as a 9.5-point favorite.

Boise State’s lone Fiesta Bowl appearance was in 2007 when they pulled off a magical 43-42 upset over Oklahoma as a 7-point underdog. This will be TCU’s first Fiesta Bowl.

1995 Fiesta Bowl Florida 24 Nebraska 62 -3.5 59.5 O
1996 Fiesta Bowl Penn State 38 Texas 15 -1 NULL P
1997 Fiesta Bowl Syracuse 18 Kansas State 35 -4 NULL P
1998 Fiesta Bowl Florida State 16 Tennessee 23 5.5 NULL P
1999 Fiesta Bowl Tennessee 21 Nebraska 31 -3.5 NULL P
2000 Fiesta Bowl Notre Dame 9 Oregon State 41 -3 50.5 U
2001 Fiesta Bowl Oregon 38 Colorado 16 -3 61.5 U
2002 Fiesta Bowl Ohio State 31 Miami 24 -12 48 O
2003 Fiesta Bowl Kansas State 28 Ohio State 35 6.5 42.5 O
2004 Fiesta Bowl Pittsburgh 7 Utah 35 -16 70 U
2005 Fiesta Bowl Notre Dame 20 Ohio State 34 -4.5 55.5 U
2006 Fiesta Bowl Boise State 43 Oklahoma 42 -7 50.5 O
2007 Fiesta Bowl West Virginia 48 Oklahoma 28 -6 61 O
2008 Fiesta Bowl Ohio State 21 Texas 24 -9.5 52 U

Fiesta Bowl ATS Game Logs
{URL=http://www.oddsshark.com/Stats/GameLog/Football/NCAAF/552}Boise State Game Logs {/URL}| {URL=http://www.oddsshark.com/Stats/GameLog/Football/NCAAF/507} TCU Game Logs {/URL}

Recent Fiesta Bowl trends courtesy of Bovada:
Ohio State played in 4 of past 7 Fiesta Bowls
Underdogs 3-0 ATS past 3 Fiesta Bowls

College football point spread data - every day at OddsShark.com