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Expert PGA Betting Picks: Arnold Palmer Invitational

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn't easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada.

Henrik Stenson (+800)

Henrik Stenson is the undisputed top play this weekend in my eyes. The Swede has been red-hot lately and loves playing at Bay Hill, as he tied for third at the event in 2016 after finishes of T-15, T-8, T-5 and second in his previous four trips to the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Putting, scrambling and performing well on par 5s are the keys to winning this event, and Stenson excels in all of those aspects. He should have won the tournament in 2015, but that was before he broke his major drought at the British Open a year ago. With the major monkey off his back, Stenson has looked like a different player and I have no issue backing him on any given weekend.

Need another reason to pick him at the Arnold Palmer Invitational? Here you go:

The well-rested Stenson finished seventh a week ago at the Valspar Championship, which was only his third event of 2017. Dating back to last year, he’s finished T-2 or better in two his last four PGA Tour appearances. Stenson is ramping up the momentum with the Masters on the horizon, so expect to see more high finishes before he tees it up at Augusta.

Justin Rose (+1800)

Rose is another player who’s historically fared well at the tournament, as the Englishman has finished in the top 15 in four of his last five visits to Bay Hill. He’s also in excellent form right now in the wake of three top-five finishes in his previous five starts.

The world No. 13 finished second to Tiger Woods in the 2013 Arnold Palmer Invitational and has expressed his desire to collect his first victory at the renowned event after narrowly missing out on hoisting the trophy.

He’s a special talent who’s due for a win sooner rather than later, and his 20-under-par second-place showing at the Sony Open proves he’s still got what it takes to contend with the influx of young talent on the Tour at the age of 36.

Brandt Snedeker (+3500)

Snedeker is far from the flashiest player on the Tour, but he’s one of the most consistent week in and week out when it comes to being in contention on Sundays. Sneds placed in a tie for eighth place at Bay Hill last season, and he’s finished T-9, T-7 and fourth in three of his last four starts this year.

The 2017 edition of the Arnold Palmer Invitational will be especially emotional due to the passing of the legend last September, which means golfers will have an extra fire in their belly to perform well in honor of Arnie.

Snedeker has always been one of the most outspoken players in professional golf when it comes to his affection for Palmer, so don’t be surprised if he’s playing even better than usual this weekend.

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