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Expert PGA Betting Picks: Shell Houston Open

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the Shell Houston Open.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada.

Jon Rahm +1000

Outside of any golfer not named Dustin Johnson, Rahm is arguably the hottest player in the world right now. After pushing Johnson to the limit before eventually coming up short last week in the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, Rahm will have no shortage of motivation to get the job done in Texas.

The 22-year-old Spaniard is a rising star in the golfing world, and he’s made his presence felt on the Tour since turning pro less than a year ago. Rahm, who’s up to No. 14 in the world rankings after his performance at the match play, has four top-fives in his past five starts including a win at the Farmers Insurance Open in late January. The sky is the limit for this kid, so keep riding the hot hand while you can.

Phil Mickelson +2000

The grizzled veteran Mickelson has professed his love for the Golf Club of Houston and has used it as a Masters tune-up for almost a decade, participating in every Shell Houston Open since 2008. Mickelson won the tournament in 2011 and has notched five straight top-20 finishes since then.

Lefty is peaking at the right time ahead of the renowned event at Augusta National thanks to a T-5 and T-7 result in his last two starts. Mickelson is clearly focused on the Masters, but his competitiveness, talent and experience makes him a solid bet every week – especially at courses he favors like this one.

Charley Hoffman +4500

Hoffman isn’t the most attractive name on the board, but don’t overlook the 40-year-old this weekend. Hoffman is playing in his 11th Shell Houston Open and has never missed a cut there. He’s a boom-or-bust player who’s either in contention on Sunday or misses the cut altogether, but he’s in great form right now.

Hoffman finished T-2 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and T-4 at the Genesis Open. Jim Herman came out of nowhere to win this tournament last year, proving you don’t have to be a high-end player to triumph here. A small wager at +4500 on Hoffman looks like a solid play to me.

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