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Expert PGA Betting Picks: Valero Texas Open

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the Valero Texas Open.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada.

Charley Hoffman (+1800)

Hoffman won the 2016 Valero Texas Open and clearly loves playing in San Antonio. After edging out Patrick Reed a year ago, the 40-year-old now has nine top-15 finishes at the tournament and has never missed the cut.

Just how good has Hoffman been at the Valero Texas Open? He’s a combined 43 under par here. Only two men have gone back to back at the tournament since 2000 (Justin Leonard in 2000-01 and Zach Johnson in ’08-09) but Hoffman is in prime position to join those ranks.

Brendan Steele (+2200)

The 2011 champ, Steele is as consistent as it comes on the PGA Tour. He always manages to be in the thick of things, as he hasn’t missed a cut since last year’s PGA Championship in July.

At a layout where he’s had success in the past, I’m comfortable rolling with him – especially with the weakened field. After all, only eight of the top 50 in the world rankings will tee it up in San Antonio.

Billy Horschel (+2800)

Horschel missed the cut last week at the RBC Heritage, but don’t let that poor play fool you. The man is an absolute beast at this tournament. A year ago, Horschel finished in a tie for 54th the week before the Valero Texas Open and proceeded to end up in a fourth-place tie.

The American placed third in both 2013 and 2015, yet he’s never managed to win here. In six starts, Horschel ranks 15th on the all-time money list. He’s always a threat in Texas.

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