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Kentucky Derby Betting Preview

Lookin at Lucky leads a 20-horse field as the 4/1 favorite in this weekend’s 136th running of the Kentucky Derby. Will bettors be lucky if they bet on the favorite, or will an underdog steal the show again like 50/1 longshot Mine That Bird did at Churchill Downs last year? Lookin at Lucky has been the favorite at online racebook Bovada since Eskendereya was pulled from the race due to a bad leg.

Lookin at Lucky, who is trained by three-time Derby winner Bob Baffert, currently sits atop the odds at 4/1. [ Derby betting tips and tutorials, {URL=http://www.oddsshark.com/betting-advice/kentucky-derby-betting}click here{/URL} ] He has the history of a Derby champion with six wins in eight career starts, but he has drawn a difficult post position. Lookin at Lucky will start in the No. 1 stall, which means he could get caught up in the crowd heading into the first turn. Only 12 horses have ever won from the first position, and the last was Ferdinand in 1986.

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Lookin at Lucky’s starting spot is still a lot better than his greatest competition in the race, Sidney’s Candy. He follows Looking at Lucky on the odds list at 6/1 over at Bovada, but he’ll be on the other side of the starting gate in the No. 20 post position. That’s proven to be a difficult spot to win from in the past, as only two horses have ever won the Derby from there. The last wasn’t too long ago, though, as Big Brown started in the No. 20 spot when he won in 2008. One other possible knock against Sidney’s Candy is that he’s never run on dirt before and the track could be a mess on Saturday with a ton of rain in the forecast. Famous trainer Todd Pletcher’s best chance at finally ending his long 0-for-24 Derby losing streak, Devil May Care, shares the next position on the odds list at +800, along with Awesome Act. [ For a list of Derby contests and SPECIAL BONUS OFFERS, {URL=http://www.oddsshark.com/horses/kentucky-derby-contests-offered}click here{/URL} ] Devil May Care is the lone filly in this year’s field and she’ll try to become only the fourth girl to ever win the run for the roses and the first since Winning Colors beat all the boys in 1988. It may have been more than 20 years since a filly has won at Churchill Downs, but don’t forget that a filly, Rachel Alexandra, won last year’s Preakness Stakes. ADVERTISEMENT: FOR WINNING DERBY PICKS AND ANALYSIS ALL WEEKEND AT CHURCHILL DOWNS, CLICK HERE TO {URL=http://www.turfnsport.com/horse-racing-picks.php}GET MIKE DEMPSEY'S PICK PACKAGES.{/URL}

If you’re looking for a value play on Saturday take a close look at one of Pletcher’s other horses in the Derby, Super Saver at +1200. He’ll be ridden by Calvin Borel, who rode Mine That Bird to an upset win last year at Churchill Downs and also rode Street Sense to a Derby win in 2007. Super Saver has shown great speed and racing ability on messy tracks in the past and that could give him an advantage on what should be a very sloppy track on Saturday. Odds to win Kentucky Derby (listed by post position) courtesy of Bovada racebook: 1 Lookin at Lucky 4/1 2 Icebox 10/1 3 Noble's Promise 18/1 4 Super Saver 14/1 5 Line of David 22/1 6 Stately Victor 22/1 7 American Lion 18/1 8 Deans Kitten 35/1 9 Make Music For Me 45/1 10 Paddy O'Prado 20/1 11 Devil May Care 12/1 12 Conveyance 18/1 13 Jackson Bend 15/1 14 Mission Impazible 16/1 15 Discreetly Mine 45/1 16 Awesome Act 10/1 17 Dublin 16/1 18 Backtalk 60/1 19 Homeboykris 45/1 20 Sidney’s Candy 6/1

2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup LOOKIN AT LUCKY -205 SIDNEYS CANDY +165 2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup ICE BOX -130 DEVIL MAY CARE EVEN 2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup NOBLES PROMISE -145 CONVEYANCE +115 2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup SUPER SAVER -130 JACKSON BEND EVEN 2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup PADDY O'PRADO +120 MISSION IMPAZIBLE-150 2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup LINE OF DAVID -115 STATELY VICTOR -115 2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup AMERICAN LION -145 DISCREETLY MINE +115 2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup DEANS KITTEN -115 MAKE MUSIC FOR ME -115 2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup BACKTALK +120 HOMEBOYKRIS -150 2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Lookin At Lucky Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action. Over 3.5 EVEN Under 3.5 -130 2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Ice Box Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action. Over 7.5 -115 Under 7.5 -115 2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Devil May Care Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action. Over 8.5 -125 Under 8.5 -105 2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Jackson Bend Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action. Over 8.5 -130 Under 8.5 EVEN 2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Awesome Act Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action. Over 6.5 -115 Under 6.5 -115 2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Dublin Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action. Over 8.5 -115 Under 8.5 -115 2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Sidneys Candy Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action. Over 6.5 -105 Under 6.5 -125 Will any horse win the 2010 Triple Crown? All three Triple Crown Races must be run for action. Same Horse must win Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes to be graded the winner. Yes +600 No -1000 2010 Kentucky Derby - How many lengths will the winner of the 136th Kentucky Derby win by? More than or equal to 1 lengths -175 Less than 1 lengths +135 2010 Kentucky Derby - Official Winning Time Over 2:01.60 -265 Under 2:01.60 +215 2010 Kentucky Derby - What will be the winner of the 136th Kentucky Derby's starting gate? Gates 1-5 +140 Gates 6-10 +550 Gates 11-15 +240 Gates 16-20 +220 2010 Kentucky Derby - What will the total on-track wagering handle of the 136th Kentucky Derby be? Over 12 Million Dollars +105 Under 12 Million Dollars-145 2010 Kentucky Derby - How long will it take Rascal Flatts to sing the national anthem at the 136th Kentucky Derby? All wagers have action. Timing starts as soon as the first note is sung, and ends as soon as the last note is sung. Singles Only Over 1 minute 44 seconds -125 Under 1 minute 44 seconds -115 2010 Kentucky Derby - Will a horse win the 136th Kentucky Derby wire to wire? All wagers have action. Horse must be in 1st place at all 4 markers for Yes to be the winner. Yes (Horse Wins 136th Kentucky Derby Wire to Wire) +550 No (Horse Wins 136th Kentucky Derby Wire to Wire) -1100