Maybe this will be looked upon as the race where bettors got some great horse betting value on the Kentucky Derby.
Because after looking dominant and moving up to 4/1 Kentucky Derby odds at most racebooks, Union Rags ran third in the Florida Derby.
It broke his aura of invincibility and injected some betting value into the Derby futures list. But he remained the early favorite at 7/2 odds as racebooks respect his resume and realize he was pinned down in his Florida Derby loss.
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Take Charge Indy won that race, beating Union Rags and moving up the Derby list at 12/1 at . The three horses poised behind Union Rags – all at 8/1 – were Hansen, El Padrino and Creative Cause.
“If bettors expected the racebooks to suddenly hike the odds on Union Rags because of this questionable result, they thought wrong,” said Jack Randall. “The horse has been dominant and he finished well in Florida – he just got stuck and his jockey probably learned a lesson that will pay off handsomely later this spring.”
Gemologist at 15/1 rounds out the Top 5 betting positions, but there is plenty of value on the Derby futures board.
Z Dager is the longest shot of the 50 Derby contenders listed as reasonable bets to win the 2012 edition of the Churchill Downs classic. He is 200/1.
Scatman and Unbridled Minister were both 100/1 longshots. If you think longshots have no value in the Derby, recall that Mine That Bird won as a 51/1 underdog back in 2009.
Kentucky Derby odds as of April 5, 2012:
UNION RAGS 7/2
CREATIVE CAUSE 8/1
EL PADRINO 8/1
TAKE CHARGE INDY 12/1
SECRET CIRCLE 15/1
DADDY NOSE BEST 20/1
MARK VALESKI 20/1
WENT THE DAY WELL 20/1
I'LL HAVE ANOTHER 24/1
EVER SO LUCKY30/1
MIDNIGHT TRANSFER 40/1
MY ADONIS 40/1
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