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The Only Way to Back the Rockies in 2016

Let’s be real here: The Colorado Rockies are probably going to be one of the worst teams in the bigs in 2016.

Ok. With that hot take out of the way, is there any betting value behind the Colorado Rockies this season? In any regard whatsoever?

Well, nobody is backing the Rox in World Series futures at +15000 unless you are a die-hard Rockies fan or a parent of the one of the players; and if that’s the case, thank you for reading, Mrs. Arenado.

The National League West is poised to be one of the most exciting in baseball with the San Francisco Giants, Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks all looking like contenders while these Rockies and the San Diego Padres will toil in and around the basement from beginning to end. That instantly rules out National League Pennant and NL West futures.

So where does that leave the Rockies from a betting perspective? The answer, in all honestly, won’t surprise you. At all.

In fairness, the team, as with all editions of the Rockies, will hit. Nolan Arenado is one of the better offensive players in the game and will build on a season where he slugged 42 homers, drove in 130 runs and posted a WAR of 4.5. Carlos Gonzalez, Nick Hundley, Charlie Blackmon, Gerardo Parra and DJ LeMahieu are some of the other names that feature in a lineup that could be a reliable source for OVER wagers. History, at the very least, dictates as much.

Since 2011, the Rockies have ranked 11th or better in OVER standings each season and finished 84-74-4 O/U last year – good enough for the sixth-best mark. They scored 737 runs (fifth best in MLB), notched 39 triples (T-1), hit 187 home runs (2nd in NL), and tallied 2409 total bases (second in the bigs). We all know the thin air of the Mile High City pads the offensive numbers, but bookmakers constantly slap double-digit totals on Coors Field games which are still no match.

When we’re talking about the Rockies and their penchant for cashing OVER tickets, we can’t forget to mention pitching. In 2015, the Rockies finished dead last in the National League in ERA (5.04), quality starts (54), earned runs (799), runs (844), walks (579), strikeouts (1112) and batting average (.283). You see where this is going.

Chad Bettis and Jorge de la Rosa lead the rotation with guys like Tyler Chatwood, Jordan Lyles, Jon Gray, Chris Rusin and David Hale projected to compete for the final spots in that rotation. So you can fully expect similar numbers in 2016 to the ones in the paragraph above.

When the Rockies shipped Troy Tulowitzki to the Toronto Blue Jays last year, it represented a shift from the old guard and that World Series appearance in 2007, to a new one led by the excellent Arenado. The team is still a long way from being “something” but with him as the centerpiece, there is some flicker of hope for the future.

Just not now.

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2016 Colorado Rockies Futures Odds
MarketOdds
World Series+15000
National League Pennant+6600
National League West+5000
Win Totals70.5

Odds as of April 1 at Bovada

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