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Indians Atop AL Pennant Odds Heading into Postseason

Riding the wave of momentum that came along with their record-breaking 22-game winning streak, the Cleveland Indians are cruising down the stretch and they’re justifiably favorites to capture a second consecutive AL pennant this October.

That said, their +160 odds over at Bovada are not that far ahead of the red-hot Astros (+250) and the whimpering Red Sox (+325).

While they’ve won 31 of their last 34 games, a cold streak can happen at any time. Luckily for the Indians, they have a pitching staff that rivals the Dodgers for the best in the majors and they can still win games when they’re not hitting well.

The other four teams in the AL playoff picture cannot say the same. Boston makes a bit of a case with a team ERA of 3.71 but that number is skewed by a top-heavy starting rotation that will get into trouble in a long playoff series.

Cleveland’s staff, however, is perfectly constructed for a back-and-forth postseason tilt. They have two starters who possess ace stuff, two more who are extremely reliable, an unhittable wipeout lefty reliever in Andrew Miller and a closer who gets the job done.

Their major league-leading relief staff gives them an immediate edge in every game they play and it will be a massive factor one way or another in the upcoming playoff campaign.

Click here for National League pennant odds.

2017 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Cleveland Indians+160
Houston Astros+250
Boston Red Sox+325
New York Yankees+425

Odds as of October 4 at Bovada

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The Houston Astros are arguably the best team in baseball entering the all-star break. The ’Stros are on pace to win 109 games, something that has only been done four times in the 162-game era, and have the fifth-highest run differential in history entering the break.

The Astros have the best offense in the MLB with the club leading the way in runs, home runs, batting average and slugging percentage. The dynamic duo of Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa are battling it out for AL MVP consideration too, as both sit in the top 10 in batting average, on-base percentage and WAR. On top of the potent offense, the ’Stros arms are tearing through opponents. Dallas Keuchel and Lance McCullers form one of the best 1-2 punches in baseball while four of their five starters with 10-plus appearances have an ERA under 3.90.

Despite holding a massive 10-game lead in the AL heading into the break, the odds have tightened in the league. Since 1995, only 14 of 44 teams that paced their league in wins ultimately made it to the World Series. So, it stands to reason why the likes of the Boston Red Sox, Cleveland Indians and New York Yankees all have odds better than +1000.

One team that is seemingly overlooked is the Tampa Bay Rays. Yes, the Rays compete in a ridiculously tough AL East but they are 3.5 games back of the division-leading Red Sox, the same number of games the Yankees are behind. The Rays bats are better than most realize, as they sit in the top 10 in the MLB in hits, triples, home runs and OBP. And though the pitching staff doesn’t wow anybody, the starting rotation has a collective 4.17 ERA. The bullpen needs a boost behind closer Alex Colome but there are a couple of arms in Triple-A, Adam Kolarek specifically, that may be able to shore that up.

2017 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Houston Astros+200
Boston Red Sox+300
Cleveland Indians+375
New York Yankees+600
Kansas City Royals+1800
Toronto Blue Jays+2500
Minnesota Twins+2800
Tampa Bay Rays+2800
Seattle Mariners+3300
Texas Rangers+3300
Baltimore Orioles+3300
Los Angeles Angels+3300
Detroit Tigers+4000
Chicago White Sox+20000
Oakland Athletics+20000

Odds as of July 10 at Bovada

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As the 2017 MLB campaign hits the dog days of summer, a new favorite has emerged to win the American League pennant.

As of June 21, the Houston Astros were the +240 faves to represent the American League in the World Series at Bovada. The Boston Red Sox (+350), Cleveland Indians (+350), New York Yankees (+500), Toronto Blue Jays (+1400), Minnesota Twins (+2200), Texas Rangers (+2500), Baltimore Orioles (+2800), Detroit Tigers (+2800) and Seattle Mariners (+3300) are all trailing the 'Stros at the shop.

Before the season, the Astros were +650 to go all the way while the BoSox were tabbed as the +225 front-runners. At 48-24, the Astros boast the best record in the league and have been getting the job done thanks to the long ball, fantastic pitching and an enviable amount of team chemistry. Houston has been as consistent as it gets, as its longest losing streak of the season sits at only three games. The Astros rattled off a season-high 11 straight wins from May 25 to June 5 to separate themselves from the pack in the AL West.

The AL East is an absolute dogfight right now, but the Red Sox have once again risen to the top of the standings due to the Yankees' recent slump. The Bronx Bombers, who had dropped seven straight as of this writing, were a half-game behind the BoSox for the division lead.

Take a look at the book's full list of American League odds. Which team are you backing?

2017 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Houston Astros+240
Boston Red Sox+350
Cleveland Indians+350
New York Yankees+500
Toronto Blue Jays+1400
Minnesota Twins+2200
Texas Rangers+2500
Baltimore Orioles+2800
Detroit Tigers+2800
Seattle Mariners+3300
Los Angeles Angels+3300
Tampa Bay Rays+3300
Kansas City Royals+3300
Chicago White Sox+10000
Oakland Athletics+15000

Odds as of June 21 at Bovada

Archived Articles

No matter how many shortcomings they have in any given year, the Boston Red Sox are known as a franchise that never stays down for too long. When examining preseason American League pennant futures, the BoSox are once again expected to make a deep playoff run in 2017.

Bovada has tabbed the Red Sox as +225 favorites to represent the AL in the World Series, with the Cleveland Indians (+350), Houston Astros (+650), Toronto Blue Jays (+1000), New York Yankees (+1200), Texas Rangers (+1200), Detroit Tigers (+1600), Kansas City Royals (+1600), Seattle Mariners (+1600) and Baltimore Orioles (+1600) rounding out the top 10.

In their first season of the post-David Ortiz era, the Sox are absolutely loaded. Team president Dave Dombrowski has assembled the most talented top three of any pitching rotation on paper, with David Price, Rick Porcello and now Chris Sale set to strike fear into hitters across MLB.

The “Killer B’s” – Xander Bogaerts, Mookie Betts and Jackie Bradley Jr. – all came into their own in 2016 and will be leaned on heavily to take the team to the promised land this season. Boston’s 2016 campaign came to an abrupt end against the Cleveland Indians in the American League Divisional Series due to their bats going quiet, but it’s hard to imagine that happening again with the current makeup of the roster.

Indians fans will have a sour taste in their mouths in the wake of the Tribe blowing a 3-1 lead in the World Series vs the Chicago Cubs, but there’s no reason to dwell on the past in Northeast Ohio. Cleveland turned in a 94-win campaign last year, flying over the Indians’ season win total of 84.5, and should be even better thanks to some big signings in free agency.

Ex-Toronto Blue Jays slugger Edwin Encarnacion was brought in to bolster the offense, and an already great bullpen got even better with the addition of Boone Logan. The rotation is finally healthy (a big issue in 2016) with Corey Kluber expected to once again serve as the workhorse, and Carlos Carrasco, Danny Salazar and Trevor Bauer are expected to take major steps forward.

Among the next batch of contenders – Houston, Toronto, New York and Texas – the Astros have the most to prove. Houston finished on the outside of the playoff picture due to an 84-78 record, but a solid rotation consisting of Dallas Keuchel, Lance McCullers, Collin McHugh and Mike Fiers will be the deciding factor on this team reaching the postseason. The ’Stros quietly boasted the best bullpen in baseball a year ago, and all of the major pieces from the relief corps are back.

2017 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Boston Red Sox+225
Cleveland Indians+350
Houston Astros+650
Toronto Blue Jays+1000
New York Yankees+1200
Texas Rangers+1200
Detroit Tigers+1400
Kansas City Royals+1600
Seattle Mariners+1600
Baltimore Orioles+1800
Los Angeles Angels+2200
Chicago White Sox+5000
Tampa Bay Rays+5000
Minnesota Twins+6600
Oakland A's+6600

Odds as of March 30 at Bovada

Archived Articles

With the 2016 MLB trade deadline in the rear-view mirror, sportsbooks have labeled one club as the undisputed favorites to win the American League banner.

At Bovada, the Texas Rangers are +275 front-runners to go to the World Series. The Cleveland Indians (+350), Toronto Blue Jays (+450), Boston Red Sox (+600) and Baltimore Orioles (+750) are the teams with the next likeliest odds.

The Rangers were perceived as the big winners of deadline day, as the late additions of catcher Jonathan Lucroy and reliever Jeremy Jeffress from the Milwaukee Brewers figure to give the team a boost in its postseason run. Texas also traded for outfielder Carlos Beltran from the New York Yankees.

The Indians, who were on Lucroy’s non-trade list, will go forward with a solid lineup and one of the league’s top pitching staffs. Cleveland hasn’t won the AL pennant since 1997, but this team could easily go all the way.

As far as value goes, the Toronto Blue Jays at +450 looks like a steal. Toronto’s potent offense and deep pitching staff is hungry after ending its playoff drought in 2015, and I can’t see them fading down the stretch.

Here’s a look at the book’s full list of odds:

2016 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Texas Rangers+275
Cleveland Indians+350
Toronto Blue Jays+450
Boston Red Sox+600
Baltimore Orioles+750
Houston Astros+900
Detroit Tigers+1000
Seattle Mariners+2500
Kansas City Royals+3300
Chicago White Sox+3300
New York Yankees+4000
Los Angeles Angels+25000
Oakland Athletics+25000

Odds as of August 2 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Click here to check out the 2016 National League Pennant futures.

The all-star break, a good time for teams to evaluate their position in the standings and a good time for bettors to take advantage of some futures value while there are no games to bet on.

The Texas Rangers are now on top of the futures board on Bovada as +250 favorites with the Cleveland Indians trailing right behind at +375. As of our last update, the BoSox were the favorites but have now dropped to +700 underdogs after their impossibly hot bats cooled down somewhat.

If you grabbed the Indians at +1200 in June, you are sitting pretty. The Tribe launched themselves to the top of the AL Central and back into contention for the American League Pennant after their incredible 14-game winning streak that was recently ended by the Blue Jays.

Speaking of the Blue Jays, they have been doing okay themselves. Going into the break, the Jays won nine of 10 games and even though they sit two games back of the Baltimore Orioles in their division, they are actually better favorites to win the AL Pennant than the AL East leaders.

If you’re looking for some value, you might find it in the Houston Astros at +900. They have been coming on very strong of late and should challenge the Rangers for the AL West crown. It gets to be pretty slim picking after the Astros, however. I wouldn’t touch any team over +1400.

The biggest fall from grace came from the Los Angeles Angels. Since our last update, the Angels and their terrible pitching staff fell from +2500 to +20000 odds to win the AL – that’s a 17500-point drop. At this point, I would call the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim one of the longest shots in the league.

2016 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Texas Rangers+250
Cleveland Indians+375
Toronto Blue Jays+550
Baltimore Orioles +700
Boston Red Sox+700
Houston Astros+900
Kansas City Royals+1400
Detroit Tigers+1600
Seattle Mariners+2000
Chicago White Sox+2000
New York Yankees+3300
L.A. Angels+20000
Tampa Bay Rays+20000
Oakland Athletics+20000
Minnesota Twins+75000

Odds as of July 12 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Click here to check out our look at the 2016 National League Pennant futures.

Two months into the 2016 MLB campaign, the contenders are starting to separate themselves from the pretenders. That’s especially clear when examining American League futures odds.

The Boston Red Sox, who were +550 to win the AL pennant a month ago, are now sole +425 favorites at Bovada. Texas (+500), Kansas City (+650), Seattle (+750) and Toronto (+800) round out the top five at the shop.

After those teams, Baltimore (+1000), Chicago (+1100), Cleveland (+1200), Detroit (+1400) and New York (+1600) have the next likeliest odds.

As of June 3, the BoSox owned the top record in the American League at 32-22 but were just one game up on the Orioles in the AL East. Kansas City (30-23) was starting to turn it on after a rocky start, and the Mariners and Rangers both boasted identical 31-22 records and sat in a tie for the AL West.

The White Sox have come back down to earth as of late, which has caused their odds to drop from +600 to +1100. In the wake of last year’s surprise postseason appearance, the Astros have been one of the biggest disappointments in baseball with a pedestrian 25-30 record.

2016 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Boston Red Sox+425
Texas Rangers+500
Kansas City Royals+600
Seattle Mariners+750
Toronto Blue Jays+800
Baltimore Orioles+1000
Chicago White Sox+1100
Cleveland Indians+1200
Detroit Tigers+1400
New York Yankees+1600
Houston Astros+1600
L.A. Angels+2500
Tampa Bay Rays+3300
Oakland Athletics+4000
Minnesota Twins+25000

Odds as of June 3 at Bovada

Archived Articles

We are a little over one month into the Major League Baseball season and there has been some drastic movement up and down the American League Pennant futures board. One such team that has taken some big steps up the odds board is the American League West-leading Seattle Mariners.

The Mariners currently lead the AL West with a 16-11 record and are 1.5 games up on the second-placed Texas Rangers. The M’s entered the season at +2000 to win the American League, but have moved all the way up to +900 thanks to their excellent start.

The Mariners have used the lethal combo of potent offense and great pitching to jump out to the AL’s joint-second-best record (with the Boston Red Sox). The M’s have scored the AL’s second-most runs (122) and have hit the most home runs (38) and have the fifth-most total bases (379).

Second baseman Robinson Cano is pacing the offense as the former Yankee is putting together an MVP-caliber season. Cano has blasted nine homers and has 26 RBI while hitting .273.

Switch to pitching stats and you’ll see the Mariners at or near the top in several categories. The staff is second in the AL in ERA (3.04), fifth in quality starts (14), second in earned runs (82), fifth in strikeouts (225) and second in opponents’ batting average (.226).

Taijuan Walker (1.80) and King Felix Hernandez (2.21) have been dominant out of the starting five while, perhaps surprisingly, HIsashi Iwakuma (1-3 record, 4.03 ERA) has struggled out of the gate.

Seattle has three American League West titles in its franchise history but is without an American League pennant. Could this be the year the Mariners finally get that monkey off their back? If the beginning of the season is any indication, this is as good of an opportunity as ever.

Here is a look at what Bovada is offering on the 2016 American League Pennant futures board:

2016 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Boston Red Sox+550
Kansas City Royals+550
Chicago White Sox+600
Toronto Blue Jays+650
Texas Rangers+900
Seattle Mariners+900
Detroit Tigers+1000
Houston Astros+1600
Baltimore Orioles+1600
Cleveland Indians+1600
Los Angeles Angels+1800
Oakland A’s+1800
New York Yankees+2200
Tampa Bay Rays+2200
Minnesota Twins+6600

Odds as of May 5 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Click here to check out our look at the 2016 National League Pennant futures.

Ahead of the 2015 regular season, the Boston Red Sox were the favorites to win the American League Pennant at 11/2. What happened? Well, the Sox were a dumpster fire of a team and managed to finish last in the AL East with a 78-84 record. That's what happened.

The Kansas City Royals were a bit further down the 2015 futures board at 14/1 and not only won the Pennant, but won the World Series as well.

It’s easy to back a team that is perched at or near the top of the futures board, but as the 2015 Red Sox showed us, that’s not always how it goes.

Who can be this season’s Kansas City Royals?

Last season, Sports Illustrated famously predicted the Cleveland Indians would win the World Series. The Indians have a lot of young talent and burgeoning star players, but just couldn’t put it together last season. But maybe this is their time. And considering they are currently +900 in American League Pennant futures at online book Bovada, the price tag fits the bill.

Take shortstop Francisco Lindor for example. Here is a player that could have a breakout season and become a franchise cornerstone in 2016. The 22-year-old phenom posted an incredible 4.6 WAR in his rookie season and hit .313 while slugging 12 homers. While those numbers are a bit higher than his minor league stats, you could probably expect the offense to slightly regress in 2016, but Lindor is still a star in the making.

Cleveland’s strength is in its pitching staff, and it is formidable. The front-end trio of Corey Kluber, Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar is potentially as good as it gets in the American League Central. Cody Anderson was excellent in 15 starts for Cleveland and figures to be a key contributor in the back end of the rotation this season.

It’s easy to lose sight of middle-of-the-pack value on the futures board when teams like the Toronto Blue Jays, Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals hog the spotlight, but the 2015 Royals prove that there is value further down the board.

Considering the were a media darling heading into the 2015 regular season, maybe Cleveland can be this year’s Kansas City.

Here is a look at what Bovada is offering on the 2016 American League Pennant futures board:

2016 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Toronto Blue Jays+550
Boston Red Sox+600
Kansas City Royals+600
Houston Astros+700
Texas Rangers+800
Cleveland Indians+900
New York Yankees+1200
Detroit Tigers+1200
Chicago White Sox+1600
Los Angeles Angels+1800
Seattle Mariners+2000
Baltimore Orioles+2000
Tampa Bay Rays+2000
Minnesota Twins+2500
Oakland Athletics+3300

Odds as of March 30 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Click here to check out our look at the 2016 National League Pennant futures.

Spring Training is here and with that, more and more options on the MLB futures board have been trickling out, including Pennant futures.

In the American League, it’s the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays that lead the way on the futures board at +550 at online shop Bovada.

The BoSox made a big splash in the offseason by landing prized lefty David Price, formerly of the Jays, in the free agent market. Price will lead the front end of Boston's starting rotation, but the Sox will have to rebound from a 2015 season which saw them finish last in the A.L. East.

There were signs of life in Beantown in the latter half of the season, especially in September. The Sox posted a record of 17-10 in that month, proving that they were capable of being competitive.

Mookie Betts and Xander Bogaerts could very well be top 10 talents in the American League in 2016, but this is a club that still fields Hanley Ramirez (-1.8 WAR in 2015) and Pablo Sandoval (-2.0) on a daily basis.

North of the border, the Jays’ pitching situation will have a slightly different look as Marcus Stroman will lead the rotation now that Price has left town. Stroman returned late in the season and gave the Jays some solid starts down the stretch and in the postseason.

Deeper in the rotation, anything remotely close to his excellent 2015 would be a bonus from Marco Estrada, but the backend of the rotation could be up for grabs. The club went out and brought J.A. Happ back following an impressive 2015 stint with the Pittsburgh Pirates after a more Happ-esque showing with the Seattle Mariners in the first half. They also brought in Jesse Chavez from the Oakland A’s but will it be Aaron Sanchez, the eighth-inning guy last season, who makes the jump into the rotation? A lot of questions in that staff in Toronto.

The defending A.L. champions, the Kansas City Royals, can be had at +700 at Bovada but is that worth it considering a team hasn’t made three-straight World Series appearances since the 1998-2000 New York Yankees?

We'll get a clearer picture as to Opening Day lineups and rotations as Spring Training plays out, but there is plenty of value on the board in a competitive league.

Here is a look at what Bovada is offering on the 2016 American League Pennant futures board:

2016 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Boston Red Sox+550
Toronto Blue Jays+550
Houston Astros+700
Kansas City Royals+700
Cleveland Indians+800
New York Yankees+900
Texas Rangers+900
Detroit Tigers+1200
Chicago White Sox+1600
Los Angeles Angels+1600
Seattle Mariners+2000
Baltimore Orioles+2500
Minnesota Twins+2500
Tampa Bay Rays+2500
Oakland Athletics+4000

Odds as of February 19 at Bovada

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