Miami travels to Boston for inter-league play on Thursday, hoping to secure a victory over the Red Sox.
For the Red Sox, Daisuke Matsuzaka gets the ball, charged with keeping the Marlins hitters off the base paths. He'll face Carlos Zambrano, 4-5 on the year.
Boston opened as -145 moneyline favorites at TopBet in this baseball match, based on the starting pitcher matchup. That pairing made odds makers settle on an opening over under number of 10 at SBG Global.
The Odds Shark MLB Power Rankings have the Red Sox at No. 7 in the American League and the Marlins at No. 13 in the National League heading into this contest.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Boston's No. 2 ranked American League offense (5.2 runs per game) against a Marlins defense and pitching staff that sits at No. 12 in the National League at 4.5 runs allowed per game. The Red Sox have been averaging 9.5 hits per game, more than the Marlins have managed so far this season (8.1 hits on average).
Boston owns the American League's No. 12 defense, allowing 4.6 men per game to cross the plate. That contrasts with Miami's National League No. 12-rated defense.
Miami lost its last outing, a 15-5 result against the Red Sox on June 20. Bettors who backed the Red Sox at -137 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (20) sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Miami was scored on plenty on Wednesday, falling behind early and watching runners cross the plate all game in a 15-5 loss to Boston.
Miami Marlins Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing Toronto are 8-2
After playing Boston are 1-9
After a loss are 2-8
Boston Red Sox Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
Before playing Atlanta are 5-5
After playing Miami are 6-4
After a win are 6-4
A few Marlins at Red Sox trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Miami home to Toronto, Friday, June 22
Boston home to Atlanta, Friday, June 22