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Braves Have Been a Great Bet in Series Openers

A summer that’s seen the Cubs overvalued at every turn will continue today when the defending World Series champs take their act to Atlanta. Chicago opened as the -144 moneyline favorite for the first game against the Braves and if you’re a bit skeptical of the line, you’re not alone.

SHARK BITES
  • The Braves are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when opening a series.
  • The Cubs are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against the Braves.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Cubs' last 13 games on the road.

Finally getting over the .500 bump in their last contest, the Cubs have been one of the biggest disappointments of 2017 and other than the Giants, they’ve been the least profitable team in baseball. The Braves, on the other hand, have tomahawk-chopped their way to a .500 record just a season after winning 68 games.

They’ll call upon ace righty Julio Teheran (7-6, 4.79 ERA) in the series opener to duel with Jon Lester (5-6, 4.25 ERA) as the lefty tries to put that infamous 10-run inning in the rear-view mirror.

Through 108 innings this season, though, Lester has shown no evidence to prove he can duplicate his standout 2016. The southpaw has allowed three or more runs in six of his last nine starts and he’s been awful on the road with an ERA close to 5.

Atlanta is offering some decent value this evening with their most talented pitcher taking the mound and if you’re someone who likes plus-money picks as much as OddsShark’s own Joe Osborne, you’ll be all over the Braves in this one.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those going with the Atlanta Braves in this one found them listed on the oddsboard as moneyline underdogs of 134 at BetOnline for Monday's contest. The betting total was hovering near 9 at Bovada.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 5.7-4.1 result in favor of the Cubs. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

45-45 Atlanta battles the Cubs, currently with a 46-45 mark. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Atlanta vs Chicago injuries news.

According to MLB Power Rankings here, it's the No. 21-ranked Atlanta Braves and the No. 17-rated Chicago Cubs in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Rating these teams in several key categories is important for handicappers and Atlanta has baseball's No. 16-rated offensive output, at 9.16 hits per game. The Chicago Cubs average 8.23 hits per game, good for No. 23 on the list.

Defensively, Chicago features the No. 11-rated defense on the road, allowing 4.36 runs per game. Atlanta, meanwhile, comes in at No. 18 at home, scoring 4.51 runs per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Jose Quintana chucked 7 shutout innings at the Orioles in their last game, striking out 12 in an 8-0 win against Baltimore in baseball action at Camden Yards.

The Braves grabbed a win last time out, defeating Zack Godley and the Diamondbacks 7-1 on Sunday at SunTrust Park.

Betting Trends
  • Chi Cubs is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chi Cubs's last 25 games
  • Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
  • Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Chicago at Atlanta, Tuesday, July 18

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