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Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs

The Cubs welcome in the first place Reds for a three-game series at Wrigley Field and are currently 13.5 games back in the standings.

Cincinnati Reds (61-48) at Chicago Cubs (47-61)

Cincinnati opened as a slight -115 road favorite and the line has been unchanged, while the total at BetUS will be released later this morning due to the venue. The Reds have won six of their last eight games and currently hold a half game lead over the St. Louis Cardinals in the NL Central race.

The club has also produced a 10-1-1 record in its last 12 series. Cincinnati has won five of six games against the Cubs, outscoring them 49-13 in the process. In those games, the offense has been led by All-Stars Brandon Phillips and Joey Votto, with each having three home runs. “We’ve got to keep winning series and hopefully throw a sweep or two in there somewhere,” manager Dusty Baker said.

Cincinnati starting pitcher Bronson Arroyo has gone 3-1 with a 1.89 ERA over his last five road starts, which includes a 12-0 victory at Wrigley Field on July 2, when he gave up two hits in six innings. The right-hander brings in a 4-3 record and 3.28 ERA in nine daytime starts, but has managed to strike out just two more batters than issuing walks (32K/30BB). In 20 career appearances (18 starts) against the Cubs, Arroyo is 8-6 with a 2.91 ERA.

The Cubs enjoyed an off day after picking up a 15-3 blowout victory over the Brewers at Wrigley Field, but the club had been outscored 67-20 in its previous seven games. Chicago is 3-6 when playing with a day off (-480) and 18-22 in this situation the last three years (-1,090). Playing divisional opponents has been no easy task for the home team, going 21-32 against the Central this year (-2,300) and the total is 23-25 O/U in those contests.

Chicago starting pitcher Tom Gorzelanny has led the team to four victories in his last five outings, with the offense providing him 38 runs of support over that span. The left-hander is 3-3 with a 4.05 ERA in 10 home appearances (eight starts), allowing just a single home run in 46.2 frames. He stands at 0-1 with a 2.19 ERA in two starts against the Reds this year. Bettors will find no help looking at the daytime numbers of both clubs, with the Reds coming in with a 19-18 record (-150) and the Cubs producing a 26-29 mark (-1,140). The over being 16-4-1 in Cincinnati’s last 21 games following an off day is an intriguing trend.