Dodgers at Padres MLB Pick
The Padres are the slight favorites tonight against the Dodgers in a very important series for L.A. who trail San Diego by six games in the NL West.
L.A. Dodgers (53-46) at San Diego Padres (58-39)
Bovada has the Padres at -115 with the Dodgers at -105 and a run total of 6.5.
The Dodgers are finally out of their mini-slump and have won their last two games, but are still only 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Padres have played well since the All Star break and have won three in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
This season the Padres are 30-19 at home and the Dodgers are 21-25 on the road.
The Dodgers’ pitching staff has been stellar as of late and that is the main reason their slump is over. In winning four of their last five games the Dodgers’ staff has only given up one earned run in those 37 innings. However, the Dodgers’ offense is really struggling only batting.186 and only scoring nine runs in those five games.
The Dodgers have beaten the Padres in four of the last five games.
Both teams had the day off yesterday and in their last games on Sunday the Padres beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 6-3 and the Dodgers beat the New York Mets 1-0.
Jon Garland (9-6 3.61 ERA) is on the mound for San Diego tonight and in his last start gave up four earned runs in five innings in a no-decision. Chad Billingsley (8-5 4.22 ERA) is on the hill for L.A. and he was stellar in his last start going nine innings giving up no earned runs on only five hits in a win.
Billingsly has pitched great against the Padres in his career going 5-1 with a 2.54 ERA against them.
Garland is 5-1 with a 2.51 ERA in 10 home starts and has gone 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA in two starts against the Dodgers this season.
L.A. is 5-1 in Billingsley’s last 6 road starts and San Diego is 7-3 in Garlands last 10 home starts.
L.A. is 0-4 in their last four road games and have an Under record of 4-1 in their last five games.
San Diego is 6-0 in their last six home games and have an Over record of 12-3 in their last 15 games.
Pick: The Dodgers are really struggling on offense and that is not good facing a Padres pitching staff that has the lowest team ERA in the Majors. I think this will be a pitcher’s duel tonight, but the Padres will score just enough to win Game 1 of this important NL West series.