After going down 2-0, the Boston Red Sox have suddenly shown some signs of life in the wake of a 10-3 victory over the Houston Astros in the American League Division Series. With Game 4 set for Monday, the BoSox will look to stave off elimination in the best-of-five series.
Sportsbook opened the ’Stros as slight -114 road favorites with a total of 10.5.
- The Astros are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games against right-handed starting pitchers.
- The Red Sox are 3-0 SU in their last three games with Rick Porcello as the starting pitcher.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Astros’ last 14 games on the road against the Red Sox.
Charlie Morton and Rick Porcello are the probable starters for the Astros and Red Sox, respectively. Morton (14-7, 3.62 ERA) won his final three starts of the season, allowing four earned runs and 13 hits over 18.1 innings of work. The veteran hurler is 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA in two career starts against the Red Sox and went 4-1 with a 2.54 mark in September.
Porcello (11-17, 4.65) has won his last two decisions and went 7-3 in the final two months of the regular season, and he’ll be making his second appearance in the series after pitching one scoreless inning of relief in Game 1. The 28-year-old didn’t fare well at Fenway Park in 2017, going 7-11 with a 5.43 ERA at home this year.
If the Astros can pull off the win today, it’ll be their first division series win since 2005.
Houston hasn’t had any issues bouncing back after losses of late. In the Astros’ last five coming off a loss, they’re 5-0 SU.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
The Boston Red Sox were listed as -115 moneyline favorites earlier in the day at Sportsbook, while oddsmakers set the Sportsbook total line around 10 earlier at Sportsbook.
OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 6.0-3.6 victory for the Astros. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.
Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Boston Red Sox sport a record of 94-71 heading into this matchup, while the Houston Astros sit at 103-62 on the season. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Boston vs Houston injuries news.
The MLB Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Boston Red Sox rated this week at No. 9 and the Houston Astros sitting at No. 2.
Statistical Matchup
On offense, it's a battle between the Boston Red Sox and their No. 10-rated batting order, averaging 4.84 runs per nine innings, against the No. 1 lineup of the Houston Astros at 5.55 runs per outing.
Boston owns the No. 6 defense, which contrasts with Houston's No. 9-rated defense.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Astros were saddled with a loss last time out in Brad Peacock's start, as they lost 10-3 against Boston on Sunday at Fenway Park.
- Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games
- Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
- Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games
- Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Houston home to Boston, Wednesday, October 11
