Game 4 World Series Betting Pick
Game 4 is a must-win matchup for Boston after a controversial call sent Game 3 of the 2013 World Series to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Red Sox starter Clay Buchholz is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA in his three starts so far in the 2013 playoffs, with Boston going 2-1 in those games. Lance Lynn, 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA in three postseason outings this fall, will get the ball for the Cardinals on Sunday.
St. Louis has won just four of Lynn's past 10 starts, whereas Boston is 9-2 in Buchholz's past 11 outings. The Cards opened as small home chalk here and Boston needs to avoid going into a 3-1 series hole. Boston is just 3-6 in nine postseason road games dating back to 2009.
Those going with the Cardinals in this one found them listed as moneyline favorites of -110 at TopBet for Sunday's contest. The total was hovering near 7 at .
According to new MLB Power Rankings here, it's the No. 2-ranked Cardinals and the No. 4-rated Red Sox in this matchup.
Last time out for Boston, they were a 5-4 loser as they battled the Cardinals on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Cardinals at -104 were rewarded, while the 9 combined runs moved the game OVER for totals bettors. The Red Sox were saddled with a loss last time out in Jake Peavy's start, as they lost 5-4 against St. Louis on Saturday at Busch Stadium.
How They Match Up:
On offense, it's a battle between St. Louis and its No. 3-rated batting order, averaging 4.74 runs per nine innings, against the No. 1 lineup of the Red Sox at 5.21 runs per outing.
Defensively, Boston features the No. 14-rated defense on the road, allowing 4.1 runs per game. St. Louis, meanwhile, comes in at No. 6 at home, scoring 4.68 runs per game.
A few Red Sox at Cardinals trends to consider:
Boston is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 14-5-1 SU in its last 20 games
St. Louis is 12-1-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
St. Louis is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Boston at St. Louis, Monday, October 28th