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Marlins at Phillies MLB Preview

The Phillies are pretty big favorites in tonight’s game against the Marlins and it not hard to see why, as the fish have dropped four in a row and tonight face Phillies’ ace Roy Halladay.

Florida Marlins (28-31) at Philadelphia Phillies (31-26)

Bovada has the Phillies as the favorite posted at -165 with the Marlins at +145 with a run total of 6.5.

This is the series finale in a great pitching match up of a couple hurlers that are the best in the NL this season. The last time Halladay faced the Marlins he had a decent outing throwing the 20th perfect game in the history of baseball.

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The Marlins are reeling, losing four games in a row and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games, and are in the basement of the NL East 5.5 games back of the Atlanta Braves. The Phillies are coming off win, but are also 4-6 in their last 10 games, and are in second place in the NL East 1.5 games back of the Atlanta Braves.

This season the Phillies are 16-12 at home and the Marlins are 11-16 on the road.

Last night’s game was rained out and in Tuesday’s game the Phillies beat the Marlins 10-8.

On the mound tonight for the Phillies is Roy Halladay (8-3 2.03 ERA), who is second in the NL in wins and third in ERA and in his last start was solid going seven innings and only giving up two earned runs in a win. Josh Johnson (6-2 2.10 ERA) is on the hill for the Marlins and he was stellar in his last start only giving up one earned run in seven innings in a win.

Johnson seems to be a different pitcher on the road than at home, as his ERA on the road is 3.52 as opposed to an ERA of 1.50 at home. Conversely, Halladay has been better on the road this season (1.52 ERA) than he has been at home (2.56 ERA).

Johnson was on the hill when Halladay pitched his perfect game and even though Johnson took the loss he only gave up one earned run, as the Phillies won 1-0.

Florida is 1-4 in Johnson’s last five road starts and Philadelphia is 5-0 in their last five games against teams in the National League East.

Philadelphia is 5-11 in their last 16 games, 1-4 in their last five games against teams in the National League East, and have an Under record of 14-5-1 in their last 20 games.

Florida is 1-5 in their last six road games against a right-handed starter, 1-7 in their last eight games against teams with a winning record, and has an Under record of 9-3-1 in their last 13 road games.

In the last six games between these two teams the total has gone Under five times.