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Twins Have Been Excellent Value Play Vs Brewers

The Minnesota Twins have capitalized on a slumping Milwaukee Brewers squad and look to climb back to .500 when the two teams head to Miller Park to continue their home-and-home series Wednesday. The Twins took the first two games of the series, both as underdogs, and have now gone 14-6 SU in their past 20 games as dogs against the Brew Crew. 

Shark Bites
  • Brandon Woodruff has averaged 8.6 K/9 across all leagues this season.
  • The Brewers are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games at home against teams with losing records.
  • The Twins are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games on the road after consecutive home games.

The Twins will start Big Sexy himself, Bartolo Colon, in this one. Colon has looked better since joining the Twins with the former Cy Young winner posting a 5.18 ERA in four starts. Though that may not look great in a vacuum, when you compare it to the 8.14 ERA he had in Atlanta, Colon has been a solid addition.

The Brewers are going on the opposite end of the experience spectrum, as Brandon Woodruff will make his second major-league start. The 24-year-old pitched 6.1 innings of no-run ball in his debut against Tampa Bay and was able to work himself out of several bad positions.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those going with the Milwaukee Brewers in this one found them listed on the oddsboard as moneyline favorites of -158 at BetOnline for Wednesday's contest. The betting total was hovering near 10 at Bovada.

OddsShark computer prediction formulas pick a 4.5-3.8 win for the Twins on Wednesday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Milwaukee Brewers bring a 59-56 record to the battle against the 55-56 Twins. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Milwaukee vs Minnesota injuries news.

The MLB Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Milwaukee Brewers rated this week at No. 25 and the Minnesota Twins sitting at No. 18.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up Milwaukee Brewers No. 16 ranked offense (4.61 runs per game) against a Minnesota Twins defense and pitching staff that sits at No. 27 at 5.14 runs allowed per game. The Milwaukee Brewers have been averaging 8.49 hits per game, less than the Minnesota Twins have managed so far this season (8.53 hits on average).

Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Milwaukee has the No. 11-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Twins own the No. 27 mark in runs allowed.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

 

Betting Trends
  • Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
  • Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
  • Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Milwaukee is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 23 games
  • Milwaukee is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Minnesota at Milwaukee, Thursday, August 10

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