MLB Game Preview - Twins underdogs vs Red Sox at Boston
Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston will try to be nasty hosts on Thursday when the Minnesota Twins pay a visit to Fenway Park.
The match puts starter Kevin Correia for the Twins on the hill facing John Lackey for the Red Sox. Correia brings a 3-2 mark to the game, while Lackey is 1-2 to date on the season.
Bettors looking to side with the Red Sox in this matchup found them as -165 favorites on the MLB money line at 5Dimes. Betting the over under instead? It was 9 at its open earlier today and hovering near that number at Sportsbook.ag.
The Red Sox - Twins odds would favor the Red Sox if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Boston is rated No. 2 in the current American League Odds Shark poll, while Minnesota is at No. 13 in the American League.
How They Match Up:
Scoring stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features Boston's American League No. 5-ranked scoring average of 4.9 runs per game, against a Twins offense rated No. 7 and scoring 4.6 runs per game in the league. The Red Sox have averaged 9.1 hits per game to date this season, more than the Twins hitters have managed (8.4 per nine innings).
Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping factors and Boston has the American League's No. 8-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Twins own the American League's No. 10 mark in runs allowed.
Minnesota won its last outing, a 15-8 result against the Red Sox on May 8. Bettors who backed the Twins at +160 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (23) sent OVER bettors to the payout window. The Twins grabbed a win last time out, defeating Allen Webster and the Red Sox 15-8 on Wednesday at Fenway Park.
Minnesota Twins Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 3-7
Before playing Baltimore are 4-6
After playing Boston are 5-5
After a win are 6-4
Boston Red Sox Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing Toronto are 5-5
After playing Minnesota are 6-4
After a loss are 5-5
A few Twins at Red Sox trends to consider:
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota home to Baltimore, Friday, May 10
Boston home to Toronto, Friday, May 10