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Arrieta Looking to get Back on Track vs Mets

The Cubs – Mets game tonight features a pitching matchup that has sexy written all over it with Jake Arrieta set to duel with Noah Syndergaard. Unfortunately for Arrieta, his three starts prior to the all-star break were anything but sexy as he allowed a combined 15 runs in those appearances, so the extra rest at the break might have been the remedy to get him back on track.

Shark Bites
  • In 30 career at-bats vs Arrieta, Curtis Granderson has a .333 average and three home runs.
  • The Mets are 2-6 in their last eight games on the road.
  • The Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games as the favorite.

One of those rough outings for the Cubs’ ace came on July 2 in New York against the Mets where he allowed four runs in 5.1 innings of work. Despite his recent three-game skid, Arrieta remains one of baseball's top pitchers at home, as evidenced by his 1.65 ERA in eight starts at Wrigley Field. In his 49 innings pitched at home, he’s allowed just nine runs and still hasn’t allowed a batter to go yard. Despite his dominance at home, the Cubs are surprisingly just 5-3 in those games.

As for the Mets’ flamethrower, Syndergaard had one of his better starts of the season against this Cubs lineup earlier in the month where he struck out eight in 7.0 innings pitched, allowing just one run on his way to the W.

With such a strong pitching matchup, most bettors are probably thinking to take the UNDER, and that’s the right call as both teams are trending in that direction. The Mets have gone UNDER in seven straight, while the Cubs have gone UNDER in six straight at home.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 4.2-2.0 result in favor of the Cubs. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Chicago Cubs sport a record of 56-36 heading into this matchup, while the New York Mets sit at 49-43 on the season Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Chicago vs New York injuries news.

The Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets odds would favor the Mets if the betting lines were set according to our power ranks. Chicago is rated No. 20 in the current Odds Shark poll, while New York is at No. 15.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Chicago Cubs No. 4-rated offense, averaging 5.16 runs per game, against a New York Mets defense that ranks No. 3 at 3.55 in runs allowed per game. The Chicago Cubs have averaged 8.61 hits per game so far, more than New York Mets batters have averaged on the year (7.86 hits per game).

Comparing defensive stats, New York owns the No. 1-rated road mark, allowing 3.5 runs per game on the highway. Chicago, on the other hand, rates No. 10 in scoring at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Mets endured a 5-1 loss at the hands of the Cubs on Monday, with Steven Matz throwing 5 innings of 8-hit ball at Wrigley Field.

Betting Trends
  • NY Mets is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • NY Mets is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
  • NY Mets is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • Chi Cubs is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Chi Cubs is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games

Next Betting Matchups

New York at Chicago, Wednesday, July 20th

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