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What Version of Joe Ross Will Show up Today?

The nation’s capital will play host to the first July 4 baseball game today when the suddenly surging Mets look to narrow the gap on the Nationals in the division race. New York’s rotation is slowly getting back to full health and as it has, the numbers have been getting progressively better.

SHARK BITES
  • The Mets are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games with Seth Lugo as the starting pitcher.
  • The Mets are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against the Nationals.
  • Joe Ross has allowed opposing batters to hit for an average of .301 this season.

Steven Matz provided the Mets with another quality start in the series opener on Monday but they couldn’t finish the job, providing the lefty with no runs of support. They’ll look to get the bats heated up for Seth Lugo today and that shouldn’t be much of a problem. The Mets have scored a total of 17 runs in Lugo’s last two starts and the Nats have a wild card on the starting bump.

Nearly blowing yet another game yesterday, the Washington bullpen is in serious need of help. The Nationals have by far the worst relief pitching in baseball and that could cost them today when the incredibly inconsistent Joe Ross takes the hill for the NL East leaders.

The Mets opened as serious underdogs for this contest but the line is a little too juicy to back Ross and the rest of a Nats team that’s become unpredictable.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as MyBookie had set the Washington Nationals as -168 favorites on the moneyline for this contest. The OVER/UNDER was hovering near 9.5 for betting fans hoping to turn a profit on totals at Bovada.

OddsShark computer prediction formulas pick a 4.5-2.9 win for the Nationals on Tuesday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Washington Nationals bring a 49-34 record to the battle against the 38-44 Mets. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Washington vs New York injuries news.

The Washington Nationals sit at No. 5 in the current MLB power poll here at OddsShark, while the New York Mets sit at No. 22 on the same chart.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Washington Nationals No. 3-rated offense, averaging 5.52 runs per game, against a New York Mets defense that ranks No. 26 at 5.23 in runs allowed per game. The Washington Nationals have averaged 9.64 hits per game so far, more than New York Mets batters have averaged on the year (8.56 hits per game).

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Mets endured a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Nationals on Monday, with Steven Matz throwing 7 innings of 4-hit ball at Nationals Park.

Betting Trends
  • NY Mets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games
  • NY Mets is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • NY Mets is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games
  • Washington is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New York at Washington, Wednesday, July 5

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