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What's Behind the Indians' Win Streak?

The Cleveland Indians have taken a big lead in the AL Central after a 12-game winning streak and have become the odds-on favorite to win the division. So what’s behind the Tribe’s surge? OddsShark found out.

Strength of Schedule

One of the first things to look at when breaking down a streak is what the strength of the team’s opposition was during their run. The combined record of their opponents at the time Cleveland played them during their streak was 384-471 – not awesome. Does it need to be said that playing a weaker schedule will result in more wins? 

The MLB schedule has a funny way of balancing itself out, however, as the Indians' next three series will pit them against the Blue Jays, the Tigers and the Yankees. The combined record of those teams is 121-114, so expect their run of games until the All-Star break to be a lot more competitive and for that winning streak to come to an end.

Margin of Victory

During their streak, the Indians have beaten their opponents by an average of 4.33 runs per game. Although that is an outrageous number that will come down eventually, the Tribe have been getting a good mix of explosive offense and solid starting pitching all season long. They currently sit eighth in runs scored and fourth in team starter ERA.

Another interesting stat giving the Indians an edge is their ridiculous 19-0 record when leading after the first inning. They are also 41-3 when leading after the fifth and 38-1 when leading after the seventh. The Tribe just don't give up leads. That says a lot about the balance of offense and pitching they are receiving.

Betting Trends

The OVER/UNDER is 6-6 during the streak so bookmakers have been nailing the total. It would be wise to stay away from total bets and maybe focus on the moneyline or runline with that kind of O/U inconsistency. 

If you were lucky enough to bet $100 on the Indians moneyline in each of their last 12 games, in which they were favorites 10 times, it would have netted you a profit of $913.50.

Cleveland is 2-5 in its last seven road games against the Blue Jays, who they play next. 

Bovada has updated Cleveland’s futures odds and you’ll notice quite a big difference between their odds now and at the start of the season.

2016 Cleveland Indians Updated Futures Odds
MarketOdds
World Series+900
American League Pennant+450
American League Central-250

Odds as of June 30 at Bovada

2016 Cleveland Indians Futures Odds At the start of the season
MarketOdds
World Series+1800
American League Pennant+900
American League Central+190

Odds as of March 30 at Bovada

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