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The Mets Are On An OVER Run For The Ages

The New York Mets rank sixth in runs scored per game in the major leagues this season and dead last in runs allowed. 

Whaddya got bettors? An OVER play. In fact, these Mets are the best OVER team we have on record going back to 1996 up to the end of May in a season.  

The OVER went 32-11-8 (74.4%) to the end of May in Mets games, which ranks just a tad higher than the 2010 Arizona Diamondbacks to the same point. 

Best OVER Records to May 31 In MLB Since 1996
YearTeamO/U Record
2017Mets32-11-8 (74.4%)
2010Diamondbacks36-15-2 (70.8%)
2003Red Sox36-15-2 (70.6%)
2004Orioles31-15-1 (67.4%)
1999Blue Jays35-17 (67.3%)
1999Giants33-17-1 (66.0%)
2016Tigers32-17-2 (65.3%)
2012Rockies32-17-1 (65.3%)
2008Pirates32-17-5 (65.3%)
2006Marlins32-17-2 (65.3%)

Timely hitting has helped New York topple totals but the starting rotation has really been blown to hell. Starters Seth Lugo and Steven Matz have been on the DL lately and staff ace Noah Syndergaard suffered a torn lat on April 30. The closing part of the bullpen is banged up too while the rest of the pen is overworked and under-delivering — New York owns the third-worst ERA among relief units in the National League. 

At the plate, the Mets aren’t completely knocking hats off. But they are getting home runs from different sources (eight players have at least four home runs). They also rank third in the majors at hitting with runners in scoring position (.307).  

It will be interesting to see how long this can keep up. With Lugo and Matz returning from the DL soon, we may get some more consistent pitching. And without tons of power generating runs (the Mets rank 13th in home runs in MLB), you have to wonder how long the OVER run will continue.

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