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Harvick Favored in O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 but Bettors Should Look Elsewhere

Despite coming off finishes outside the top 10 in his last two races, oddsmakers still have Kevin Harvick penciled in as the co-favorite to win this weekend’s O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Motor Speedway. Alongside Kyle Busch at the top of the oddsboard at +650, Harvick has struggled over the past four weeks. He now sits 12th in the Monster Energy Cup standings after entering the season as the favorite.

It’s a completely different story for Busch, who has three straight top-10 finishes, including a second-place finish last week at Martinsville. The Toyota driver is still without a win on the season but is a two-time winner of this race, winning last year and in 2013. However, bettors might want to consider that this race has never produced a back-to-back winner.

Brad Keselowski will be looking to continue his run of brilliance this season and enters the race with +700 odds. He now has five consecutive top-five finishes, including a victory last week, that have catapulted him to the top of the Monster Energy Cup standings. He’s never won this race, and has finished outside the top 10 in two of the last three years.

Perhaps the best value on the board belongs to Ryan Newman at +4000. With two top-10 finishes in his last three races, including a win in the Camping World 500 in Phoenix that ended a 127-race winless streak, he finds himself in the midst of a strong season, sitting fourth in the Monster Cup standings.

Much higher up the oddsboard you’ll find Matt Kenseth, who’s worth a look at +1200. As a two-time winner of the race, he offers better value than some of the higher-profile names ahead of him on the oddsboard and he might be poised to get his first victory of the season.

Here’s a complete look at the odds for Sunday’s race:

Odds to Win - O'Reilly Auto Parts 500

Odds as of April 7 at Bovada

  • Kevin Harvick #4 +650
  • Kyle Busch #18 +650
  • Brad Keselowski #2 +700
  • Jimmie Johnson #48 +700
  • Joey Logano #22 +700
  • Kyle Larson #42 +750
  • Martin Truex Jr. #78 +900
  • Chase Elliott #24 +1000
  • Matt Kenseth #20 +1200
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr. #88 +1400
  • Denny Hamlin #11 +1400
  • Clint Bowyer #14 +2000
  • Kurt Busch #41 +2000
  • Kasey Kahne #5 +2500
  • Erik Jones #77 +3300
  • Jamie McMurray #1 +3300
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. #17 +4000
  • Ryan Blaney #21 +4000
  • Ryan Newman #31 +4000
  • Austin Dillon #3 +5000
  • Daniel Suarez #19 +5000
  • Paul Menard #27 +15000
  • A. J. Allmendinger #47 +25000
  • Aric Almirola #43 +25000
  • Trevor Bayne #6 +25000
  • Danica Patrick #10 +30000
  • Ty Dillon #13 +50000
  • Chris Buescher #37 +100000
  • Cody Ware #51 +100000
  • Cole Whitt #72 +100000
  • Corey LaJoie #83 +100000
  • David Ragan #38 +100000
  • Derrick Cope #55 +100000
  • Gray Gaulding #23 +100000
  • Jeffrey Earnhardt #33 +100000
  • Landon Cassill #34 +100000
  • Matt DiBenedetto #32 +100000
  • Michael McDowell #95 +100000
  • Reed Sorenson #15 +100000
  • Timmy Hill #51 +100000
  • J.J. Yeley #7 +100000
  

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