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NBA Playoffs Starting to Trend OVER

Kyle Lowry Toronto Raptors

If you've been paying attention to the NBA playoffs, you already know how hot of a bet the UNDER was throughout the majority of the first two rounds. But since last week things have taken a turn, and the OVER is starting to become the sharp play.

As of May 10, the OVER/UNDER was 20-39-2. Since then, however, all five games have gone above the closing total, bringing it to 25-39-2. The total for Game 1 between the Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder opened at 232 at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook - the highest number in NBA playoff history.

Considering nearly every edition of the NBA postseason in recent memory has concluded with almost the same amount of OVERs as UNDERs, this does not come as much of a surprise. Teams have started to get into an offensive groove, and the sudden boon of scoring has all but ended the abundance of low-scoring games. Sportsbooks have obviously taken note about the UNDER trend, and lower than normal totals have started to become more prevalent.

Take a look at how the last five games have played out for totals bettors.

Death of the UNDER trend? OVERs starting to dominate NBA playoffs
DateAway teamHome teamAway scoreHome scoreClosing totalDifferential
May 15MiamiToronto89116188+17
May 13TorontoMiami91103188+6
May 12San AntonioOklahoma City99113197.5+14.5
May 11PortlandGolden State121125217.5+28.5
May 11MiamiToronto9199189+1

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The story of the NBA playoffs, at least at the betting window, continues to be a red-hot UNDER trend. If you haven't been paying attention, listen up.

Heading into Wednesday's action, the UNDER is a sizzling 39-20-2 through the first 61 postseason contests. The total for Heat-Raptors opened at 187, while the OVER/UNDER for Trail Blazers-Warriors was initially set at 215 but has been slowly rising throughout the day.

A major drop off in scoring across the board has been the biggest reason for the trend. Low-scoring affairs have become the norm in this year's playoffs, and sports books have slowly been lowering the OVER/UNDER as each series has gone along.

Here's an updated look at each game that's gone below the closing total.

UNDERs galore: low-scoring games of the 2016 NBA postseason
DateAway teamHome teamAway scoreHome scoreClosing totalDifferential
May 10Oklahoma CitySan Antonio9591199-13
May 9TorontoMiami8794194-13
May 8ClevelandAtlanta10099203-4
May 6San AntonioOklahoma City10096200-4
May 5MiamiToronto9296190-2
May 3PortlandGolden State99110212-3
May 2AtlantaCleveland93104199.5-2.5
May 2Oklahoma CitySan Antonio9897199.5-4.5
May 1IndianaToronto8489189.5-16.5
May 1CharlotteMiami73106190.5-11.5
April 29MiamiCharlotte9790192-5
April 29TorontoIndiana83101192.5-8.5
April 28AtlantaBoston10492198-2
April 27HoustonGolden State81114212.5-17.5
April 27CharlotteMiami9088195.5-17.5
April 26BostonAtlanta83110198-5
April 25L.A. ClippersPortland8498205-20.5
April 25MiamiCharlotte8598194.5-1.5
April 24AtlantaBoston95104203-4
April 24Golden StateHouston12194217.5-2.5
April 23L.A. ClippersPortland8896208.5-24.5
April 23MiamiCharlotte8096197.5-21.5
April 23TorontoIndiana83100193-10
April 22San AntonioMemphis9687184-1
April 21ClevelandDetroit10191200.5-8.5
April 21Golden StateHouston9697215.5-22.5
April 21TorontoIndiana10185194.5-8.5
April 20PortlandL.A. Clippers81102210.5-27.5
April 20DetroitCleveland90107202-5
April 19MemphisSan Antonio6894186-24
April 19BostonAtlanta7289205.5-44.5
April 18DallasOklahoma City8584203-34
April 18IndianaToronto8798210.5-0.5
April 17PortlandL.A. Clippers95115210.5-0.5
April 17MemphisSan Antonio74106188.5-8.5
April 16DallasOklahoma City70108206-28
April 16BostonAtlanta101102206-3
April 16HoustonGolden State78104225-43
April 16IndianaToronto10090194.5-4.5

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