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Warriors Failing to Cover in OKC

We knew the Golden State Warriors-Oklahoma City Thunder Western Conference final series was going to be a rollercoaster, and that’s exactly what’s transpired through two games. Game 3 gets underway on Sunday as the action shifts back to Oklahoma.

Shark Bites
  • The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The UNDER is 5-2 in the Thunder's last 7 games.
  • The Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City.

The Thunder were the top rebounding team in the regular season, while the Warriors topped the Association in just about every statistical shooting category. Golden State did its best to combat the Thunder on the glass in Game 2, and that effort resulted in a huge 118-91 victory. The Dubs finished with 15 offensive rebounds and 15 second-chance points, outrebounding OKC by a 62-32 margin.

At this point it’s looking like the Dubs’ big men might be more important than its sharpshooters in this series. Golden State’s Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson can light it up from anywhere, but it’s looking like the matchup will be decided in the paint.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those looking to pick the visitors as their prediction to cover in this one found the Golden State Warriors listed as -2.5-point favorites earlier at BetOnline. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER total betting line for this game was set at 219 at Bovada but may have moved since the betting odds opened.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 111-109 win for the Thunder. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Oklahoma City Thunder bring a 64-31 record (44-48-3 ATS) to the battle against the 82-12 Golden State Warriors, who are 51-40-3 ATS. Fans OVER/UNDER betting have seen Oklahoma City Thunder go 45-50 so far and the Golden State Warriors go 50-43-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Oklahoma City vs Golden State injuries news.

According to the betting Power Rankings at Odds Shark, it's the No. 2-rated Oklahoma City Thunder and the No. 1-rated Warriors in this NBA basketball matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively the game matches up Oklahoma City's No. 2-ranked offense (109.49 PPG) against a Golden State Warriors defense that ranks No. 19 at 103.88 PPG. The Oklahoma City Thunder have averaged 47.42% from the field per game, less than the Golden State Warriors have managed so far this NBA season (48.63% on average).

Recent Outings Betting Recap

 

Betting Trends
  • Golden State is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
  • Golden State is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
  • Golden State is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 9 games on the road
  • Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
  • Oklahoma City is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Golden State at Oklahoma City, Tuesday, May 24th

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