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Heat face Bucks: NBA odds preview

Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Feb 13, 8:00 PM | Bradley Center

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds

21-7TEAM RECORD12-15

NBA betting interest will be piqued on Monday when the Heat of Miami hit the hard court against the Bucks of Milwaukee.

The Heat will try to spoil to the party on Monday; they are 13-15 ATS against the number this season, while the Bucks are 12-15 ATS. Miami is 14-13-1 on the totals; Milwaukee is 17-9-1.

View Miami vs Milwaukee Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
If you're going with the Bucks in this one, they're listed as 6.5-point underdogs on the betting line for the contest. Totals bettors have seen that number set at 201 for Monday.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game pits the Bucks, currently No. 18 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Heat, who rate No. 8 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 105-96 victory for the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Milwaukee's No. 15-ranked offense, averaging 95.4 PPG, against a Heat defense that ranks No. 15 at 95.1 PPG. The Bucks field goal percentage has averaged 43.1% so far, less than the Heat shooters have achieved on the year, 48.3% per game.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Heat own the league's No. 21-rated mark, allowing 98 points per game when on the road. Milwaukee, on the other hand, rates No. 8 in home scoring.

Miami won its last outing, a 107-87 result against the Hawks on February 12. The Heat covered in that game as a 4-point favorite, while the 194 combined points took the game OVER the total. The Heat blew out Atlanta on Sunday, running up the score in a 107-87 win at Philips Arena.

Milwaukee lost its last outing, a 99-94 result against the Magic on February 11. The Bucks failed to cover in that game as a 1.5-point underdog, while the 193 combined points took the game OVER the total. Milwaukee got 21 points from Drew Gooden but lost anyway 99-94 against the Magic on Saturday at Bradley Center.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Indiana are 6-4
After playing Atlanta are 7-3
After a win are 7-3

Milwaukee Bucks Trends:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing New Orleans are 4-6
After playing Orlando are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5

A few Heat at Bucks trends to consider:
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 18 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 18 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing Miami

Next up:
Miami at Indiana, Tuesday, February 14
Milwaukee home to New Orleans, Wednesday, February 15

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