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Heat face Grizzlies: NBA odds preview

Miami HeatMemphis Grizzlies
Nov 11, 6:00 PM | FedExForum

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Odds

5-1TEAM RECORD4-1

Miami pays a visit to Memphis on Sunday, hoping to send the Grizzlies to a loss while also covering the spread in NBA action at FedExForum.

The Heat will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 4-2 ATS against the number this season, while the Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). Miami is 3-3 on the totals; Memphis is 4-1.

View Miami vs Memphis Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as TopBet had the Grizzlies installed as 3.5-point underdogs in this particular matchup. The over-under number was listed by most sportsbooks, including Bovada, at 197.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Grizzlies rated this week at No. 12 and the Heat sitting at No. 5. It may or may not play a role in Odds Shark score prediction models that turned out a 109-107 result in favor of the Heat today.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Memphis's No. 5-ranked offense (100 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 21 at 98 PPG. The Grizzlies have averaged 42.9% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (51.5% on average).

Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 15-rated defense on the road, giving up 96.5 points per game. Memphis, meanwhile, comes in at No. 14 in the league in scoring at home.

Last time out for Miami, they were a 95-89 winner as they battled the Hawks on the road. The Heat covered in the match as a 4-point favorite, while 184 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Heat grabbed a 95-89 win over the Hawks on Friday, behind a 24-point effort from Chris Bosh at Philips Arena.

Memphis won its last outing, a 93-85 result against the Rockets on November 9. The Grizzlies covered in that game as a 7-point favorite, while the 178 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Memphis earned a 93-85 victory over Houston on Friday, getting 21 points from Rudy Gay at FedExForum.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing Houston are 6-4
After playing Atlanta are 9-1
After a win are 7-3

Memphis Grizzlies Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 5-5
Before playing Oklahoma City are 5-5
After playing Houston are 5-5
After a win are 7-3

A few Heat at Grizzlies trends to consider:
Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 21 games
Memphis is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games

Next up:
Miami at Houston, Monday, November 12
Memphis at Oklahoma City, Wednesday, November 14

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