Denver looks to cover the Nuggets-Heat pointspread on Thursday and improve its overall 4-4 mark when they host Miami in NBA action.

(Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). The Nuggets are 4-4 so far on the season, and 5-3 ATS vs. the number. The Heat, meanwhile, are 6-3 and 4-5 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Denver go 4-4 and the Heat go 5-4 on the totals.



View Miami vs Denver Odds and Stats.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Nuggets sit at No. 8 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Heat are at No. 7 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Heat will win this game 105-102.



How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Heat rank No. 25 in the league with 39.7 per game. That compares with Denver’s No. 1 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Denver is the NBA’s No. 17-ranked team at 6.4 per game, while the Heat rate No. 2 with 8.9 per contest.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Heat own the league's No. 25-rated mark, allowing 102.8 points per game when playing on the road. Denver, on the other hand, rates No. 3 in scoring on their home court.

Miami lost its last outing, a 107-100 result against the Clippers on November 14. The Heat failed to cover in that game as a 1-point favorite, while the 207 combined points took the game OVER the total. LeBron James was dynamite, scoring 30 points and adding 5 rebounds but Los Angeles still won, 107-100, over Miami on Wednesday at STAPLES Center.

Denver lost its last outing, a 110-100 result against the Suns on November 12. The Nuggets failed to cover in that game as a 4.5-point favorite, while the 210 combined points took the game OVER the total. Denver got 17 points from Andre Iguodala but lost anyway 110-100 against the Suns on Monday at US Airways Center.


Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing Phoenix are 5-5
After playing LA Clippers are 4-6
After a loss are 7-3

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
Before playing San Antonio are 8-2
After playing Phoenix are 8-2
After a loss are 7-3

A few Heat at Nuggets trends to consider:
Miami is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Miami's last 24 games
Miami is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Miami


Next up:
Miami at Phoenix, Saturday, November 17
Denver at San Antonio, Saturday, November 17