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Heat vs Lakers Betting Pick

A week after Dwyane Wade smacked Kobe Bryant in the face in the All-Star Game, he gets a chance to it again as the Heat visit the Lakers in NBA betting action Sunday.

D-Wade broke Kobe's nose and gave him a slight concussion and bettors with a nose for NBA trends may side with Miami today as 3.5-point road chalk. They are 7-0 ATS in the past seven meeting with the Lakers.

The Lakers sit at 22-14 (17-19 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Heat are currently 28-8 (19-17 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Los Angeles is 17-19 OU, and Miami is 17-17-2 OU.

View Miami vs LA Lakers Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The visitors opened as 3-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked at Odds Shark (including 5Dimes), while the total was hovering around 193 at most shops.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 5 (Lakers) and the No. 4 (Heat) teams in the league, according to our current NBA Power Rankings at Odds Shark. A 105-98 result in favor of the Heat is predicted by handicapping models.

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How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Heat rank No. 14 in the league with 42.6 per game. That compares with Los Angeles’s No. 1 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Los Angeles is the NBA’s No. 24-ranked team at 5.1 per game, while the Heat rate No. 19 with 6 per contest.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Heat own the league's No. 15-rated mark, allowing 96.7 points per game when on the road. Los Angeles, on the other hand, rates No. 15 in home scoring.

Miami was a 99-98 loser in its last match on the road against the Jazz. They failed to cover the 5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 197 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. LeBron James chucked in 35 points for Miami on Friday, but they still came up short in losing 99-98 at EnergySolutions Arena.

In their last action, Los Angeles was a 115-107 winner at home against the Kings. They failed to cover the 10-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (222) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Lakers got a 38-point performance from Kobe Bryant as Los Angeles handed Sacramento a 115-107 defeat on Friday at STAPLES Center.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing New Jersey are 6-4
After playing Utah are 5-5
After a loss are 6-4

Los Angeles Lakers Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing Detroit are 7-3
After playing Sacramento are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

 

A few Heat at Lakers trends to consider:
Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 14 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Lakers last 7 games
LA Lakers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
LA Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games

Next up:
Miami home to New Jersey, Tuesday, March 6
LA Lakers at Detroit, Tuesday, March 6

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