Heat vs Pacers NBA Odds Preview
The Miami Heat will be looking to continue their SU and ATS winning streak against the Indiana Pacers from last season when those teams meet for the first time this year on Tuesday night.
LeBron James and company won their last three games of their second-round playoff series against the Pacers both SU and ATS last year to advance to the Eastern Finals. Overall Miami is 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in its past 10 against Indiana.
The Heat will look to vanquish their hosts on Tuesday, as they are 16-16 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Pacers are 18-16 ATS. Miami is 15-17 against the total, while Indiana is 14-20 versus the number. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).
For bettors going with the Pacers in this one, they were listed earlier as 4-point underdogs on the betting line at Bovada. Totals bettors have seen that number set at 191 for Monday at shops such as 5Dimes.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Pacers - Heat odds would favor the Pacers if the lines were set according to power ranks. Indiana is rated No. 7 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Heat sit at No. 10. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 101-97 win for the Heat.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Indiana's No. 29-ranked offense (91.4 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 18 at 97.7 PPG. The Pacers have averaged 42.3% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (49% on average).
Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 19-rated defense on the road, giving up 100.8 points per game. Indiana, meanwhile, comes in at No. 23 in the league in scoring at home.
Last time out for Miami, they were a 99-71 winner as they battled the Wizards at home. The Heat covered in the match as a 14-point favorite, while 170 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The battle between the Heat and Wizards didn’t turn out to be much of a battle at all as Washington was handed a 99-71 defeat on Sunday at AmericanAirlines Arena.
Last time out for Indiana, they were a 95-80 winner as they battled the Bucks at home. The Pacers covered in the match as a 4.5-point favorite, while 175 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Pacers got a 20-point performance from Roy Hibbert, who added 15 rebounds as Indiana ran past Milwaukee 95-80 on Saturday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.
Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 8-2
Before playing Portland are 5-5
After playing Washington are 7-3
After a win are 7-3
Indiana Pacers Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 3-7
Before playing New York are 8-2
After playing Milwaukee are 7-3
After a win are 6-4
A few Heat at Pacers trends to consider:
Miami is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 14 games
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
Indiana is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Miami at Portland, Thursday, January 10
Indiana home to New York, Thursday, January 10