The NBA betting slate features a possible NBA finals preview when Miami and Oklahoma City battle Wednesday.
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City and they opened as 3-point home chalk on the NBA odds menu.
Of note, seven of the past 10 meetings between these teams played OVER the total, but the recent trend has been UNDER.
The Heat are 38-14 so far on the season, and 25-27 ATS vs. the number. The Thunder, meanwhile, are 40-13 and 30-23 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Miami go 23-27-2 and the Thunder go 26-27 on the totals.
View Oklahoma City vs Miami Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
On the Sportsbook line for this matchup, the Heat sat as 3-point favorites at Sportsbook. The total had been pegged by the oddsmakers at 197.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game pits the Heat, currently No. 2 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Thunder, who rate No. 4 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 106-105 victory for the Heat.
How They Match Up:
In rebounding, the battle of the boards features Miami's No. 18-rated squad against Oklahoma City's No. 7-rated roster. When it comes to long-range shooting, Miami rates No. 20 in the league with 5.6 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 10 with 7.1 per outing.
Defensively, the Thunder feature the league's No. 16-rated defense on the road, allowing 97 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, comes in at No. 3 in the league in scoring at home.
Last time out for Oklahoma City, they were a 94-88 loser as they battled the Grizzlies at home. The Thunder failed to cover in the match as a 7.5-point favorite, while 182 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Oklahoma City suffered a 94-88 loss against Memphis on Monday, getting 21 points from Kevin Durant in a losing effort at Chesapeake Energy Arena.
Miami won its last outing, a 99-93 result against the 76ers on April 3. The Heat failed to cover in that game as a 7-point favorite, while the 192 combined points took the game OVER the total. LeBron James poured in 41 points for Miami on Tuesday, as they defeated Philadelphia 99-93 at AmericanAirlines Arena.
Oklahoma City Thunder Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Indiana are 1-9
After playing Memphis are 6-4
After a loss are 10-0
Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Memphis are 5-5
After playing Philadelphia are 7-3
After a win are 6-4
A few Thunder at Heat trends to consider:
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Miami's last 17 games at home
Miami is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Next up:
Oklahoma City at Indiana, Friday, April 6
Miami home to Memphis, Friday, April 6
