Heat vs TWolves betting preview
LeBron James and the Miami Heat are riding a 14-game winning streak into their NBA betting matchup on Monday night on the road against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
And the Heat have also won five games in a row against the Timberwolves, including a 103-92 victory as an 8.5-point home favorite in their first meeting of the season on December 18. That was the third straight UNDER result between the two teams.
Minnesota will face the 43-14 Heat, who own a 30-27 ATS mark on the season. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). In totals betting, the Timberwolves are 28-27-1 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Heat are 30-27 favoring the OVER. (Watch for opening lines at Bovada today).
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Timberwolves at No. 21 and the Heat at No. 9 heading into this contest. Handicapping models run by the computers at Odds Shark project a 105-96 result in favor of the Heat.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Minnesota's No. 19-ranked offense (95.2 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 11 at 96.6 PPG. The Timberwolves have averaged 43.5% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (49.6% on average).
Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 7-rated defense on the road, giving up 95.3 points per game. Minnesota, meanwhile, comes in at No. 23 in the league in scoring at home.
The Heat were a 99-93 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Knicks. They covered the 4.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (192) made winners of UNDER bettors. LeBron James scored 29 points and chipped in with 11 rebounds for Miami on Sunday, leading the Heat to a 99-93 victory over New York at Madison Square Garden.
In their last action, Minnesota was a 109-94 loser on the road against the Trail Blazers. They failed to cover the 8-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (203) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Derrick Williams scored 23 points in a failed effort to lead the Timberwolves to victory (they lost 109-94 to Portland at Rose Garden on Saturday).
Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Orlando are 6-4
After playing New York are 9-1
After a win are 10-0
Minnesota Timberwolves Trends:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing Washington are 3-7
After playing Portland are 2-8
After a loss are 3-7
A few Heat at Timberwolves trends to consider:
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami home to Orlando, Wednesday, March 6
Minnesota home to Washington, Wednesday, March 6