We will see tonight whether all that noisy Indiana celebration at the end of Game 2 will come back to haunt them.
The Indiana Pacers will try for their second straight upset of the Miami Heat on Thursday night when those two teams meet on the hardwood in the third game of their second-round playoff series.
The Pacers won 78-75 in Miami in Game 2 of the best-of-seven set on Tuesday night, paying out as NBA underdogs and tying up the series at 1-1. David West scored 16 points for Indiana that game.
The Pacers sport records of 42-24 and 32-34 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Heat sit at 46-20 and 32-34 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 34-30-2 for the Pacers and 25-39-2 for the Heat.
View Miami vs Indiana Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The visitors opened as 1-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked at Odds Shark including Sportsbook, while the total was hovering around 182 at most shops, including Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at Odds Shark have the No. 5-rated Heat taking on the No. 4-rated Pacers in this contest. Computer models indicate a possible 102-99 win for the Heat on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Heat rank No. 21 in the league with 41.6 per game. That compares with Indiana’s No. 4 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Indiana is the NBA’s No. 19-ranked team at 5.9 per game, while the Heat rate No. 20 with 5.6 per contest.
Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 10-rated defense on the road, allowing 95.5 points per game. Indiana, meanwhile, comes in at No. 12 in the league in scoring at home.
Indiana won its last outing, a 78-75 result against the Heat on May 15. The Pacers covered in that game as a 6.5-point underdog, while the 153 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Indiana got 16 points from David West en route to a 78-75 victory over Miami on Tuesday at AmericanAirlines Arena.
Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing Indiana are 6-4
After playing Indiana are 6-4
After a loss are 7-3
Indiana Pacers Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing Miami are 6-4
After playing Miami are 5-5
After a win are 7-3
A few Heat at Pacers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Indiana is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
Next up:
Miami at Indiana, Sunday, May 20
Indiana home to Miami, Sunday, May 20
