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Mavericks Thunder NBA betting pick

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks will meet again in Texas on Saturday night, with Dirk Nowitzki and company desperately looking for a win in Game 4 of their playoff series.

The defending-champion Mavericks are down 3-0 to the Thunder in the best-of-seven set, falling at home in Game 3 on Thursday night. Kevin Durant scored 31 points for the Thunder in that contest.

The Mavericks sit at 36-30 (32-34 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Thunder are currently 47-19 (35-31 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Dallas is 33-33 OU, and Oklahoma City is 31-35 OU.

View Oklahoma City vs Dallas Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Dallas opened as 1-point underdogs at TopBet, while the NBA total was set at 192.5 for those who prefer OVER/UNDER betting at Bovada.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 11 (Mavericks) and the No. 2 (Thunder) teams in the league, according to our current NBA Power Rankings at Odds Shark. A 104-99 result in favor of the Thunder is predicted by handicapping models.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Dallas's No. 19-ranked offense (95.8 PPG) against a Thunder defense that ranks No. 17 at 96.9 PPG. The Mavericks have averaged 44.3% from the field per game, less than the Thunder have managed so far this season (47.1% on average).

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Thunder own the league's No. 16-rated mark, allowing 97.6 points per game when on the road. Dallas, on the other hand, rates No. 18 in home scoring.

Oklahoma City was a 95-79 winner in its last match on the road against the Mavericks. They covered the 3-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 174 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. The Thunder got a 31-point performance from Kevin Durant as Oklahoma City handed Dallas a 95-79 defeat on Thursday at American Airlines Center.

Oklahoma City Thunder Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
Before playing Dallas are 5-5
After playing Dallas are 6-4
After a win are 5-5

Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Oklahoma City are 4-6
After playing Oklahoma City are 6-4
After a loss are 4-6

 

A few Thunder at Mavericks trends to consider:
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Dallas is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Dallas is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games

Next up:
Oklahoma City home to Dallas, Monday, May 7
Dallas at Oklahoma City, Monday, May 7

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