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NBA Playoff Betting: Dallas at Portland

Down 3-2 in their opening round playoff series, the Portland Trail Blazers have to win to avoid elimination when they face the Dallas Mavericks at home tonight.

The Mavericks took a 3-2 series lead with a 93-82 win in Game 5 as a 5-point favorite. Dirk Nowitzki led the Mavericks with 25 points and eight rebounds, while Andre Miller had 18 points and seven assists for Portland.

View Dallas vs Portland Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
On the opening line for this matchup, the Trail Blazers sat as 4-point favorites. The total had been pegged by the oddsmakers at 182.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Trail Blazers at No. 18 and the Mavericks at No. 6 heading into this contest. Handicapping models run by the computers at Odds Shark project a 101-98 result in favor of the Mavericks.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Portland's No. 24-ranked offense, averaging 96.3 PPG, against a Mavericks defense that ranks No. 10 at 96 PPG. The Trail Blazers field goal percentage has averaged 44.7% so far, less than the Mavericks shooters have achieved on the year, 47.5% per game.

Defensively, the Mavericks feature the league's No. 9-rated defense on the road, allowing 96.8 points per game. Portland, meanwhile, comes in at No. 23 in the league in scoring at home.

Portland lost its last outing, a 93-82 result against the Mavericks on April 25. The Trail Blazers failed to cover in that game as a 5-point underdog, while the 175 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The Trail Blazers endured a 93-82 loss at the hands of the Mavericks on Monday, despite an 18 -point effort from Andre Miller at American Airlines Center.

Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing Portland are 5-5
After playing Portland are 6-4
After a win are 8-2

Portland Trail Blazers Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing Dallas are 5-5
After playing Dallas are 7-3
After a loss are 7-3


A few Mavericks at Trail Blazers trends to consider:
Dallas is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Dallas is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Dallas is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Portland is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games
Portland is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home

Next up:
Dallas home to Portland, Saturday, April 30
Portland at Dallas, Saturday, April 30

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