Memphis favored by 6 against Dallas on Wednesday
Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Odds
The Memphis Grizzlies host Dallas on Wednesday, looking to build on their 37-18 mark against the 25-31 Mavericks in NBA action at FedExForum.
The Grizzlies sport records of 37-18 and 32-22-1 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Mavericks sit at 25-31 and 32-24 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 23-31-1 for the Grizzlies and 34-21-1 for the Mavericks. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).
The visitors opened this morning as 6-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked at Odds Shark (including 5Dimes), while the total was hovering around 193 at BetOnline and other shops.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Grizzlies - Mavericks odds would favor the Grizzlies if the lines were set according to power ranks. Memphis is rated No. 10 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Mavericks sit at No. 18. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 100-96 win for the Grizzlies.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Memphis's No. 27-ranked offense, averaging 93.4 PPG, against a Mavericks defense that ranks No. 27 at 102.4 PPG. The Grizzlies field goal percentage has averaged 44.1% so far, less than the Mavericks shooters have achieved on the year, 45.3% per game.
In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Mavericks own the league's No. 27-rated mark, allowing 104.5 points per game when playing on the road. Memphis, on the other hand, rates No. 27 in scoring on their home court.
In their last action, Dallas was a 95-90 loser at home against the Bucks. They failed to cover the 5.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (185) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. The Mavericks got a 21-point performance from Dirk Nowitzki, who added 20 rebounds, but Milwaukee still ran past Dallas 95-90 on Tuesday at American Airlines Center.
Memphis won its last outing, a 76-72 result against the Nets on February 24. The Grizzlies covered in that game as a 2.5-point favorite, while the 148 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Zach Randolph scored 16 points leading the Grizzlies to a 76-72 victory over Brooklyn at Barclays Center on Sunday.
Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 8-2
Before playing Brooklyn are 6-4
After playing Milwaukee are 8-2
After a loss are 6-4
Memphis Grizzlies Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Miami are 3-7
After playing Brooklyn are 4-6
After a win are 7-3
A few Mavericks at Grizzlies trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas's last 16 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas at Brooklyn, Friday, March 1
Memphis at Miami, Friday, March 1