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Miami vs Atlanta NBA betting preview

The Miami Heat are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS over their last six matchups against the Atlanta Hawks with those Eastern Conference teams set to meet once again in NBA betting action on Tuesday night.

The Heat are a perfect 3-0 both SU and ATS against the Hawks so far this season, including a 103-90 road victory as a 5.5-point favorite in their last meeting on February 20. The UNDER has paid out for totals bettors in each of their last four matchups.

Miami will face the 34-28 Hawks, who own a 28-32-2 ATS mark on the season. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). In totals betting, the Heat are 32-29 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Hawks are 31-30-1 favoring the OVER.

View Atlanta vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Heat as 10-point favorites in this matchup earlier today, while the OVER/UNDER line was sitting around 198 earlier at Bovada.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Heat rated this week at No. 7 and the Hawks sitting at No. 19. It may or may not play a role in Odds Shark score prediction models that turned out a 106-99 result in favor of the Heat today.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Miami's No. 5-ranked offense, averaging 103.5 PPG, against a Hawks defense that ranks No. 12 at 96.8 PPG. The Heat field goal percentage has averaged 49.6% so far, more than the Hawks shooters have achieved on the year, 46.2% per game.

Defensively, the Hawks feature the league's No. 8-rated defense on the road, giving up 96.1 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, comes in at No. 4 in the league in scoring at home.

In their last action, Atlanta was a 93-80 loser at home against the Nets. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (173) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Atlanta got 15 points from Al Horford but lost anyway 93-80 against the Nets on Saturday at Philips Arena.

Last time out for Miami, they were a 105-91 winner as they battled the Pacers at home. The Heat covered in the match as a 6.5-point favorite, while 196 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Mario Chalmers scored 26 points for Miami on Sunday, leading the Heat to a 105-91 victory over Indiana at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Atlanta Hawks Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing LA Lakers are 4-6
After playing Brooklyn are 5-5
After a loss are 6-4

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Philadelphia are 6-4
After playing Indiana are 6-4
After a win are 10-0

 

A few Hawks at Heat trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Next up:
Atlanta home to LA Lakers, Wednesday, March 13
Miami at Philadelphia, Wednesday, March 13