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Heat Pacers Game 5 Pick

The Miami Heat are home favorites at the sportsbooks for Tuesday night as they look to take a 3-2 lead on the Indiana Pacers in the fifth game of their Eastern Conference semifinal series.

The Heat got 40 points and 18 rebounds from LeBron James on Sunday in a 101-93 Game 4 victory, while Dwyane Wade scored 30 points. Miami and Indiana are now tied 2-2 in their best-of-seven series.

The Heat bring a 46-20 record (32-34 ATS) to the battle against the 42-24 Pacers, who are 32-34 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Miami go 25-39-2 so far and the Pacers go 34-30-2.

View Indiana vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Heat installed as 6.5-point favorites in this particular matchup. The over-under number was listed by most sportsbooks at 180.5, including at BetOnline.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at Odds Shark have the No. 4-rated Pacers taking on the No. 5-rated Heat in this contest. Computer models indicate a possible 102-99 win for the Heat on Tuesday.

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How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Pacers rank No. 4 in the league with 43.9 per game. That compares with Miami’s No. 21 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Miami is the NBA’s No. 20-ranked team at 5.6 per game, while the Pacers rate No. 19 with 5.9 per contest.

Defensively, the Pacers feature the league's No. 9-rated defense on the road, allowing 95.5 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, comes in at No. 9 in the league in scoring at home.

The Heat were a 101-93 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Pacers. They covered the 1.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (194) made winners of OVER bettors. LeBron James went off for 40 points and added 18 rebounds leading Miami to a 101-93 win over Indiana on Sunday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Indiana Pacers Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Miami are 7-3
After playing Miami are 5-5
After a loss are 8-2

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 8-2
Before playing Indiana are 5-5
After playing Indiana are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

 

A few Pacers at Heat trends to consider:
Indiana is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Indiana is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

Next up:
Indiana home to Miami, Thursday, May 24
Miami at Indiana, Thursday, May 24

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