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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat in NBA odds tilt

Miami Heat Milwaukee Bucks
49-22 March 29, 2014, 08:30 | Bradley Center 14-58



The Bucks will hit the floor running against the visiting Miami Heat on Saturday, looking to bolster their record and bolster wagering bankrolls in the process.

The Bucks bring a 14-58 record (32-38-2 ATS) to the battle against the 49-22 Heat, who are 34-36-1 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Milwaukee go 40-32 so far and the Heat go 39-32. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). View Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds and Stats.

Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Bucks as 10.5-point underdogs in this matchup earlier today, while the OVER/UNDER line was sitting around 200.5 earlier at GTbets.eu.

This game pits the Bucks, currently No. 28 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Heat, who rate No. 17 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 97-85 victory for the Heat.

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Miami was a 110-78 winner in its last match on the road against the Pistons. They covered the 5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 188 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Detroit was run off the court by the Heat on Friday as Miami blasted the Pistons 110-78 at The Palace of Auburn Hills.

In their last action, Milwaukee was a 108-105 winner at home against the Lakers. They earned a push of the 3-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (213) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Milwaukee got 30 points from Brandon Knight en route to a 108-105 victory over Los Angeles on Thursday at Bradley Center.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Milwaukee's No. 28-ranked offense (95.43 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 7 at 97.99 PPG. The Bucks have averaged 43.5% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (50.5% on average).

A few Heat at Bucks trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 18 games
Milwaukee is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games at home
Milwaukee is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami


Next up:
Miami home to Toronto, Monday, March 31st
Milwaukee at Detroit, Monday, March 31st