NBA betting line favors Heat over Magic

Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Dec 31, 5:00 PM | Amway Center

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Odds

20-8TEAM RECORD12-18

Orlando looks to cover the Magic-Heat pointspread on Monday and improve its overall 12-18 mark when they host Miami in NBA action.

(Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). The Magic are 12-18 so far on the season, and 15-15 ATS vs. the number. The Heat, meanwhile, are 20-8 and 15-13 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Orlando go 13-16-1 and the Heat go 13-15 on the totals.

View Miami vs Orlando Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Magic were listed as 9.5-point underdogs at sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark (including GTbets.eu), with the total was listed at 193.5 over at 5Dimes earlier.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Magic - Heat odds would favor the Heat if the lines were set according to power ranks. Orlando is rated No. 21 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Heat sit at No. 11. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 102-94 win for the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Orlando's No. 26-ranked offense, averaging 92.8 PPG, against a Heat defense that ranks No. 17 at 97.8 PPG. The Magic field goal percentage has averaged 45.1% so far, less than the Heat shooters have achieved on the year, 49.4% per game.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Heat own the league's No. 17-rated mark, allowing 100 points per game when playing on the road. Orlando, on the other hand, rates No. 25 in scoring on their home court.

Miami lost its last outing, a 104-85 result against the Bucks on December 29. The Heat failed to cover in that game as a 4.5-point favorite, while the 189 combined points took the game UNDER the total. LeBron James went off for 26 points and added 6 rebounds but it wasn't enough as Milwaukee defeated Miami, 104-85 at Bradley Center.

Last time out for Orlando, they were a 123-88 loser as they battled the Raptors at home. The Magic failed to cover in the match as a 3-point favorite, while 211 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Orlando was run off the court by the Raptors on Saturday as Toronto blasted them 123-88 at Amway Center.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Dallas are 6-4
After playing Milwaukee are 9-1
After a loss are 7-3

Orlando Magic Trends:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Chicago are 8-2
After playing Toronto are 3-7
After a loss are 3-7

A few Heat at Magic trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Miami is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games at home
Orlando is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Miami

Next up:
Miami home to Dallas, Wednesday, January 2
Orlando home to Chicago, Wednesday, January 2