NBA betting line favors Nuggets over Mavericks

Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
April 4, 9:00 PM | Pepsi Center

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Odds

36-38TEAM RECORD51-24

A key NBA battle sees the visiting Mavericks travelling to Denver Thursday to face the Nuggets on Thursday.

The Nuggets sit at 51-24 (46-29 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Mavericks are currently 36-38 (42-32 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Denver is 41-34 OU, and Dallas is 44-28-2 OU. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).

View Dallas vs Denver Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The visitors opened this morning as 6-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked at Odds Shark (including 5Dimes), while the total was hovering around 209.5 at BetOnline and other shops.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at Odds Shark have the No. 18-rated Mavericks taking on the No. 5-rated Nuggets in this contest. Computer models indicate a possible 107-101 win for the Nuggets on Thursday.

ADVERTISEMENT:

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Denver's No. 3-ranked offense (105.7 PPG) against a Mavericks defense that ranks No. 27 at 102.2 PPG. The Nuggets have averaged 47.8% from the field per game, more than the Mavericks have managed so far this season (46% on average).

Defensively, the Mavericks feature the league's No. 25-rated defense on the road, giving up 103.6 points per game. Denver, meanwhile, comes in at No. 3 in the league in scoring at home.

In their last action, Dallas was a 101-81 loser on the road against the Lakers. They failed to cover the 4.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (182) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Dallas was crushed on Tuesday, getting run out of the gym by Los Angeles and falling 101-81 at STAPLES Center.

Denver won its last outing, a 113-96 result against the Jazz on April 3. The Nuggets covered in that game as a 3-point underdog, while the 209 combined points took the game OVER the total. The Nuggets grabbed a 113-96 win over the Jazz on Wednesday, behind a 21-point effort from Danilo Gallinari at EnergySolutions Arena.

Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing Sacramento are 6-4
After playing LA Lakers are 3-7
After a loss are 8-2

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing Houston are 7-3
After playing Utah are 4-6
After a win are 9-1

A few Mavericks at Nuggets trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games

Next up:
Dallas at Sacramento, Friday, April 5
Denver home to Houston, Saturday, April 6