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NBA: November's Best & Worst Bets

With the first full month of the NBA season in the books it’s time to take a look at the best and worst bets in November. While the Warriors (16-0 SU in November) and 76ers (0-16 SU in November) are setting records for completely different reason, there were also a few standout teams at the betting window.

Best and Worst ATS teams in November

The NBA’s top against the spread team in November by a fairly wide margin was the Indiana Pacers who went 11-2 ATS during the month. The Pacers have been invigorated this season by Paul George’s return to elite player status after missing most of last season. Somewhat surprisingly, the Brooklyn Nets posted the second best ATS record in November, going 9-5 ATS.

Three teams that are viewed as title contenders were at the bottom of the league for November ATS records. The Rockets were the worst bet in the league in November, posting a 4-14 ATS record, followed by the Cavaliers at 4-10 ATS and Clippers at 5-10 ATS. While the Rockets’ and Clippers’ poor ATS records are primarily due inconsistent play, the Eastern Conference leading Cavaliers faced a lot of large spreads during the month and played in more closer games than anticipated.

Best ATS Teams in November
  • Pacers 11-2 (84.6%)
  • Nets 9-5 (64.3%)
  • Spurs 10-6 (62.5%)
Worst ATS Teams in November
  • Rockets 4-14 (25%)
  • Cavaliers 4-10 (28.6%)
  • Clippers 5-10 (33.3%)

Best OVER/UNDER teams in November

LeBron James and company were the top OVER bet of the month, posting a 10-4 O/U record in November. The Cavs are the East’s highest scoring team and ranked near the top of the league in both field goal and three-point shooting percentage.

The NBA’s top UNDER team in the month was the Miami Heat, who went 2-12 O/U during the month. The Heat currently rank 26th in the league in points per game, but have been a success on the defensive end, allowing the second-least amount of points per game in the NBA.

Of the 223 NBA games played in November, the overall O/U record was 95-125-3.

Also of interest to totals bettors, games with a closing total of 190 or lower went UNDER seven out of 10 times.

Best OVER Teams in November
  • Cavaliers 10-4 (71.4%)
  • Suns 9-5 (64.3%)
  • Trail Blazers 9-6 (60%)
Best UNDER Teams in November
  • Heat 2-12 (85.7%)
  • Bulls 2-10 (83.3%)
  • Knicks 3-11-1 (73.3%)

Biggest Upsets of November

The Minnesota Timberwolves are a team on the rise in the NBA and they put several teams on notice after being on the right end of some of the month’s biggest upsets.

Here’s the five biggest upsets of November:

Biggest Upsets of November
DateAwayHomeAway ScoreHome ScoreClosing SpreadClosing Total
Nov 11, 2015BrooklynHouston10698-11208
Nov 7, 2015MinnesotaChicago10293-9.5201.5
Nov 9, 2015MinnesotaAtlanta117107-8.5204.5
Nov 17,2015MinnesotaMiami10391-8.5198.5
Nov 4, 2015TorontoOklahoma City10398-8212

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