NBA Game Preview - Wizards underdogs vs Heat at Miami

Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Dec 15, 7:30 PM | AmericanAirlines Arena

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Odds

3-17TEAM RECORD14-6

The NBA betting slate features a clash between Miami and Washington on Saturday, with the host Heat trying to win for fans supporting them with their cheers and their money.

The Wizards will look to vanquish their hosts on Saturday, as they are 11-8-1 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Heat are 9-11 ATS. Washington is 10-10 against the total, while Miami is 11-9 versus the number. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).

View Washington vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as 5Dimes had set the Heat as 15-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was listed earler at 196.5, but may be on the move at Bovada and other top sites.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Heat - Wizards odds would favor the Heat if the lines were set according to power ranks. Miami is rated No. 16 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Wizards sit at No. 22. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 101-91 win for the Heat.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Miami's No. 5-ranked offense, averaging 103.2 PPG, against a Wizards defense that ranks No. 13 at 97.2 PPG. The Heat field goal percentage has averaged 49.6% so far, more than the Wizards shooters have achieved on the year, 40.8% per game.

Defensively, the Wizards feature the league's No. 11-rated defense on the road, giving up 96.4 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, comes in at No. 2 in the league in scoring at home.

Washington lost its last outing, a 102-96 result against the Lakers on December 14. The Wizards covered in that game as a 6.5-point underdog, while the 198 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Washington got 21 points from Cartier Martin but lost anyway 102-96 against the Lakers on Friday at Verizon Center.

The Heat were a 97-95 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Warriors. They failed to cover the 8.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (192) made winners of UNDER bettors. LeBron James was dynamite, scoring 31 points and adding 3 rebounds but Golden State still won, 97-95, over Miami on Wednesday at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Washington Wizards Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Atlanta are 4-6
After playing LA Lakers are 2-8
After a loss are 3-7

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 7-3
Before playing Minnesota are 5-5
After playing Golden State are 8-2
After a loss are 7-3

A few Wizards at Heat trends to consider:
Washington is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Washington is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games
Miami is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
Miami is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Washington
Miami is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
Miami is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Washington

Next up:
Washington home to Atlanta, Tuesday, December 18
Miami home to Minnesota, Tuesday, December 18

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